Following Tan Yaozong, member of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, quoting "friends from the Mainland" earlier, he pointed out that after the end of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the customs clearance policy between Hong Kong and the Mainland has the opportunity to relax.
Lu Wenduan, vice chairman of the All-China Federation of Returned Overseas Chinese, wrote an article in a newspaper today (5th), pointing out that the statement was not groundless, but neither of them mentioned details.
When Tan Yaozong was inquired by "Hong Kong 01", he pointed out that at this stage, everyone can only "rely on estimates" on the details of customs clearance in the mainland. However, since the 20th National Congress of the mainland has not been held, there has been a trend of relaxing policies, so it is reasonable to expect that the number of quarantine days will be more relaxed. The wider the scope, the specific pace depends on the progress of research and development of specific drugs in the Mainland. Once the quarantine restrictions on entry from Hong Kong are eased, it is believed that the practice for overseas regions will also be adjusted simultaneously.
Tan: The mainland itself has moved in the direction of relaxation
Tan Yaozong pointed out that it is not clear what the specific relaxation measures for entry into the mainland mentioned by Lu Wenduan are. At this stage, everyone can only "rely on estimates" about the future direction. No one has definite information to know the specific plan, but he believes that the mainland's epidemic prevention policy is actually Even though the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China has not yet started, individual details have been fine-tuned. For example, in terms of sealing and control, the previous practice of "sealing a large area with one letter" has not been adopted: "The mainland must be precise. , we must minimize the impact on the economy and shorten the time as much as possible.”
As for the specific customs clearance time, Tan Yaozong said that he could not confirm it, but he believed that it was related to the vaccination status of the new crown in the mainland and the progress of the trial of the specific drug: "At least until the test of the specific drug is completed, even if the patient is infected, it is not necessary to stay in the hospital, and the hospital does not need to. "Conquered". There are several oral specific drugs in the experimental stage in China, and I heard that they have entered the clinical trial stage." He believes that Hong Kong has always been a "pilot" for national policy adjustment. Facing foreign countries will also be synchronized: "The central government will conduct a comprehensive assessment, and if there is a full opening, what potential problems are there."
Tian Beichen: The pursuit of lowering the diagnosis will become history
Tian Beichen, a member of the Legislative Council of the Real Politics Roundtable, pointed out: "Many people know that after the October General Assembly, there will be adjustments in the mainland." Before relaxing the quarantine policy, the mainland must give the green light. As long as Hong Kong relaxes to "0+3", the epidemic situation will remain stable. For example, the number of confirmed cases will continue to decline and the mortality rate of severe cases will decrease. It is believed that the mainland will definitely adjust the epidemic prevention policy according to the capacity of its own medical system. , "A further reduction in the (low) number of confirmed diagnoses will become historic (policy)."
However, he emphasized that the mask is the bottom line: "If you want to wear a mask, you must have an injection in places other than the mask. There are no conditions to relax for the time being."
Shi Li De: The central government sees that Hong Kong 0+3 has not rebounded to increase confidence
The President of the Chinese Manufacturers' Association, Shi Lide, said that he very much agrees with Lu Wenduan's point that the central government has always valued Hong Kong's role as an "external circulation". As the most open city in the country, Hong Kong's function of connecting the mainland and the world is very important.
As a matter of fact, the "resumption of customs clearance" between Hong Kong and foreign countries is not only important for Hong Kong to maintain its international status and competitive advantage, but also serves as a "first trial" and reference for the Mainland to resume "customs clearance".
As for customs clearance with the "mainland", he believes that this is the long-standing expectation of the business community and the general public: "We understand that the customs clearance arrangement between Hong Kong and the mainland cannot bring too much risk to the mainland epidemic, but considering that the epidemic situation in Hong Kong has gradually gradually Even if the "0+3" is implemented for overseas tourists, the imported cases will not increase significantly, and the local epidemic will not necessarily rebound. I believe that the central government will see this situation and will become more and more confident in resuming "customs clearance" with Hong Kong. Even if Without the consideration of the "20th National Congress", I believe that it is also a suitable time to start orderly resumption of inspection-free customs clearance with the mainland in mid-October, and we are very much looking forward to it."
The business community says it must always return to normal: to a certain extent, use Hong Kong as a pilot
A senior business person who did not want to be named pointed out to the author that the Mainland’s entry quarantine policy is based on Hong Kong as a pilot to a certain extent, and the quarantine arrangement is gradually relaxed. Health monitoring) is adjusted to "7+3" (7 days of centralized isolation medical observation + 3 days of home health monitoring), all benefiting from Hong Kong's experience to a certain extent, so it is expected that even if there is some relaxation after the 20th National Congress, it will be The level of "3+4" or "3+3" is gradually relaxed, and it is impossible to relax too much at once. Otherwise, mainland cities, especially Guangdong, which is close to Hong Kong, will have the consideration of increasing the number of confirmed cases.
The person agreed with what Tan Yaozong said that once the mainland relaxes the number of quarantine days, it will not only be for Hong Kong, but also open to overseas regions, because in fact, there are thousands of cases in Hong Kong every day, and tens of thousands of confirmed cases in Europe and the United States every day. For the mainland, the risk of transmission is the same, the key is whether the mainland is willing to accept it, and whether it can prevent the risk of severe death caused by the increase in cases: "The mainland also needs to consider the issue of returning to normal, but the pace is different."
Customs clearance in the Mainland︱Wenduan Lu: After the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, it is not unreasonable to relax Hong Kong’s external switch. Relaxing Macau says to follow the pace of the mainland
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