Former left-wing president Lula would win the second round of the presidential election with 53% of the votes cast against 47% for outgoing far-right president Jair Bolsonaro on October 30, according to the Datafolha poll published on Friday.
This poll, the first to be published by the benchmark institute since the first round of October 2 which saw Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva come out on top with 48% of the votes cast ahead of Jair Bolsonaro at 43%, has a margin of error of + or - 2 percentage points.
Polls criticized
The various polling institutes in Brazil have been widely criticized for not having anticipated the high score of the incumbent president, to which they attributed a maximum score of 37%, in the 1st round.
Thus, the last Datafolha poll published on the eve of the first round, granted 50% of the votes cast (excluding null and white) to Lula against 36% to Jair Bolsonaro.
Another poll, published by another institute, Ipec, granted 51% of valid votes to Lula against 37% to Bolsonaro also before the 1st round last Sunday.
On Wednesday, the same institute predicted a victory for Lula in the second round with 55%, against 45% for Bolsonaro.
“We have defeated the lies”
of the polls, declared the far-right president, exulting on the evening of the first round.
Jair Bolsonaro, who has been losing for several months in the polls, has continued to say that they were
"lies".
The Datafolha poll published on Friday was carried out among 2,884 voters, from Wednesday to Friday.
The second round promises to be tight in this extremely polarized election and the two candidates have striven in recent days to rally support.