Dissolve the National Assembly?
Emmanuel Macron mentioned the possibility, in particular in the event of a vote of a motion of censure.
Who would have to gain, who would have to lose to return to the voters?
It is impossible to predict as any election depends on the political climate of the moment.
The purpose of this study is to make an inventory of the constituencies where the result was the tightest last June, assuming that they are more exposed to alternation than those where a deputy was comfortably elected.
28 Renaissance, 11 LFI or 10 RN elected ric-rac
Thus 66 deputies won in the second round with less than 51% of the votes cast.
To which must be added 3 elected as part of a triangular with less than 1 point ahead of the second.
These 69 - more than 1 MP in 10 - are on paper the first exposed to headwinds to their camp.
It is said that the Republicans would be the first to be threatened with dissolution.
However, of the 62 LR deputies, only one belongs to this category of “ric-rac”: Philippe…
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