In Taiwan’s general election two years ago, Tsai Ing-wen swept 8.17 million votes, becoming Taiwan’s leader with the highest number of votes since she accidentally picked up the “atom bomb” of the anti-extradition law riots in Hong Kong.
However, Feng Shui took turns. This time Taiwan's "nine-in-one" election (local county and mayor elections), the DPP not only failed to continue the legend, but lost a mess, recording the worst record in the party's 36-year election history.
In particular, Tsai Ing-wen’s DPP candidate for mayor of Taipei, Chen Shizhong, lost 140,000 votes to KMT candidate Jiang Wan’an. DPP Taoyuan candidate Lin Zhijian, who was closely related to him, withdrew from the election because of fraudulent papers, and the northern city of Keelung was lost. , have severely damaged the DPP election situation.
Tsai Ing-wen, as the party chairman and the top trader of the DPP election campaign, is generally believed to be responsible for the defeat. Some media and commentators called the DPP "the first war criminal" and resigned that night. Chairmanship of the Democratic Progressive Party.
On November 26, the results of the 2022 Taiwan Nine-in-One Election were roughly released. The Democratic Progressive Party suffered a disastrous defeat, leaving only the four counties and cities that were originally in power, Chiayi County, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Pingtung County, and the newly captured Penghu County.
Democratic Progressive Party Chairman Tsai Ing-wen (left) announced her resignation, taking responsibility for the defeat.
(AP)
In fact, as far as Tsai Ing-wen is concerned, it is not too much to say that she is careless for this election campaign, and it is not too much to describe her as being fully committed.
For example, as the leader of Taiwan, she is still quite busy with work, but she put down her work three times to stand for Chen Shizhong in just one week.
During the election period, she ran through all the election "battlefields" in Taiwan from south to north at least once.
In order to urge votes for the DPP candidates, Tsai Ing-wen also resorted to a strange trick, shouting the slogan "Vote for the DPP candidates is to vote for Tsai Ing-wen", binding herself to the DPP candidates, hoping to use her own The status effect achieves the purpose of blessing candidates.
In Taiwan's 9-in-1 election in 2022, when Tsai Ing-wen stood on the platform for DPP candidates such as Chen Shizhong and Lin Jialong, she focused on "standing up for Taiwan."
(Facebook/Chen Shizhong)
However, what is embarrassing at the practical level is that not only did this tactic fail to help the DPP candidates, but it was generally recognized as a strategic mistake in the post-election review, which had the opposite effect.
Then, there is a very strange phenomenon here, why Tsai Ing-wen was still the "box office baby" of the Democratic Progressive Party two years ago, and won a record high number of votes, and just two years later, she suddenly became a "box office poison" What?
In particular, Tsai Ing-wen has made some achievements objectively in the past few years.
For example, due to the wave of industrial relocation of Taiwan’s economy due to the Sino-US conflict, its growth rate has been eye-catching in the past few years, and its per capita GDP will reach 33,000 US dollars in 2021; Substantial progress has been made in the two-way need for security. Pelosi's visit to Taiwan also allowed Tsai Ing-wen and Taiwan to enjoy a rare "highlight moment" in the international community. These are in line with the needs and political imagination of Taiwanese people. Why do these things Didn't bring the hopeful box office effect to the DPP?
There are many reasons for this.
In addition to the "pendulum effect" of traditional electoral politics, the DPP's electoral strategy is wrong. In local elections, voters pay less attention to the cross-strait issues that the DPP is best at. Voters pay more attention to the candidate's image and the main election issues and urban and rural governance. Ability and other reasons, the other two very important reasons are inseparable from Tsai Ing-wen.
Tsai Ing-wen attended the 11th Global Conference of the "World Democracy Movement" and delivered a speech.
(Taiwan Presidential Palace)
First of all, in terms of internal governance in the past six years, especially in the past two years, the Tsai Ing-wen government has been in constant trouble, with poor epidemic prevention, vaccine drawbacks, and frequent major social security cases. In the political competition, the appearance is ugly, the opponents Kuomintang and the People's Party are not given a chance, and the greed of one family makes voters displeased, all of which have lowered the DPP's election score.
But this is not the most important thing. The most important thing is that on the cross-strait issue, under the pressure of the military reunification in mainland China, the DPP's "anti-China protection Taiwan" vigorous pill has failed.
Although Tsai Ing-wen has made breakthroughs in Taiwan-U.S. relations, and the U.S. has intensified its efforts to use Taiwan to contain China in all aspects, these actions did not bring much real benefit to Taiwan, but triggered a war between the two sides of the strait. crisis.
In the previous cross-strait crisis, most Taiwanese thought it was a game of "military attack and military intimidation" by the mainland.
However, after the deterioration of Sino-US relations, the anti-separation will shown by the Chinese mainland on the Taiwan issue, and the attitude of the U.S. military to only provide military assistance but not to send troops after the outbreak of the Ukraine war made Taiwanese people begin to feel that the mainland’s unification will is not just a However, no one can guarantee whether the security promises of the United States can be fulfilled after the outbreak of war.
After Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, the Taiwan Navy of the People's Liberation Army conducted an unprecedented approach to Taiwan's main island.
(profile picture)
Especially after Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, the People's Liberation Army conducted an unprecedented-scale "island lock" exercise, and ships and planes approached Taiwan's main island unprecedentedly, allowing Taiwan to experience the crushing advantage that the mainland's military power has over Taiwan.
At the same time, after years of operation and combat preparations, the PLA has the ability to effectively "deny" US and Japanese military intervention in the Taiwan Strait region.
Therefore, under the pressure of the military reunification in mainland China, Taiwanese people began to realize that Tsai Ing-wen's move to stimulate the tense cross-strait confrontation may not be a blessing for Taiwan, but may bring disaster to Taiwan.
If a war does break out between the two sides of the strait, Taiwan will definitely be reduced to scorched earth, and the United States may not necessarily come to the rescue.
Therefore, rational thinking under the threat of cross-strait war played a role in this election, which made some voters' fantasies about Taiwan independence abate to a certain extent, dispelled Tsai Ing-wen's diplomatic achievements, and also made the DPP's "anti-China protection "Taiwan" Dali Pill eventually failed.
Nine-in-One Election｜The "4 Beauties" were all elected except for the "replica IU" Chen Ziyu and their Nine-in-One Election︱The 18-year-old civil rights amendment voted against the revision of the Constitution, many aesthetic scholars: surprising Nine-in-One Election︱Scholar: The issue of "anti-China protection Taiwan" has not been fermented, and the people let the blue and green mutually supervise the nine-in-one election｜Ge Laiyi: The result cannot be used as a 2024 indicator
