Officially, the elements of language are settled like clockwork.
The election of the future president of the Republicans?
"Frankly, it's none of our business.
Here, nobody talks about it, ”sweeps an employee of Emmanuel Macron.
"I even think he doesn't care," engages a minister who listens to him.
And for those who still have doubts about the disinterest ostensibly displayed by the executive around this election, this scathing and scathing sentence from a deputy formerly inserted in LR roughly sums up the general opinion: "A party whose the candidate made 4.7% in the last presidential election, who cares?
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Sunday evening, at the end of the first round, it is difficult to imagine however that the President of the Republic will not have a close eye on the result of this congress, the first round of which will oppose Saturday 3 and Sunday 4 December Éric Ciotti, Bruno Retailleau and Aurélien Pradié.
Read alsoBetween LR and RN, the new game of cat and mouse
“Whatever we say, between its group in the Assembly and that of the Senate where it still has the majority, the right still remains today the first parliamentary force in the country.
And I'm not talking about the many municipalities and some large regions that are still in his hands.
So we can't act like it doesn't count, ”tempers an old wise man from Macronie.
Éric Ciotti, a favorite… hoped for
In the majority, everyone makes Eric Ciotti, the deputy of the Alpes-Maritimes, the big favorite.
"Just with his federation, which alone constitutes 10% of the electorate, he is sure to win in all cases", predicts a strategist.
This is even the bet that the Head of State has been formulating for a long time... for self-serving purposes.
At the end of August, an indiscreet du Canard enchaîné reported presidential confidences about the deputy of the Alpes-Maritimes, holding a hard line: "With Ciotti at the head of the Republicans, this will make it possible to detach some of the deputies from their group at the Assembly.
Those who do not want to be associated with his presidency will join us in the votes,” he predicted at the time.
Except that the reading grid has changed somewhat since then.
“These last few weeks have shown that the LR group in the Assembly is not aligned, but it still holds.
For the simple and good reason that all its deputies owe their victory last June only to themselves and their local roots.
They will therefore not take the risk of going to Renaissance or elsewhere, especially with the threat of dissolution which could lead them to go back to the campaign, “says a ministerial adviser.
Result: “Ciotti or another, no one now believes in a haemorrhage.
It will have no impact, ”we think at the top of the state.
