The failure of the Republicans to take control of the US Senate, and the narrow majority they acquired in the House of Representatives, can be considered a defeat, given the opening figures.
Democratic President Biden is unpopular to say the least, not even among Democratic and independent voters.
He is physically exhausted, and some of his performances are embarrassing.
He did not pursue a wise policy in Ukraine.
A devastating war broke out there, which could endanger the security and economy of the entire West.
And this strategic disaster came after a humiliating defeat in Afghanistan.
A serious crisis of inflation is developing in the West, also because of the war in Ukraine.
An energy policy adopted by the USA before the war, due to environmental piety, canceled its energy independence. A supply and price crisis is taking place throughout the West, which is hitting industry, transportation and heating. American citizens feel the crisis every time they visit a gas station.
Many in the US are revolting against the attack on progressive culture and education, the broken borders for immigrants and the crime crisis in all the cities that the Democrats run. All of this created an electoral tiger that scared the Democrats very much, and finally it was revealed that the tiger is nothing more than a kitten that will torment them a little in embarrassing investigative committees in the House of Representatives.
It is possible that all the failures, and scandals that may be revealed, will cause the Democratic Party to replace Biden in the 2024 presidential election.
But it is not inevitable that they will not overthrow her from power, because the Democrats have an insurance policy: Donald Trump.
The storming of the Congress building in January 2021, after his speech at a nearby site, still affects the American voter between the right and the left there.
In his eyes, Trump is a regime threat.
That is why most of Trump's candidates have now failed in those countries where this voter is decisive, and he will surely also decide the campaign for the presidency in 2024.
Trump is damaging himself electorally, and this was illustrated again just now when he hosted two anti-Semites for dinner at his home.
Not only the Jews revolted.
Trump tends to step proudly on political landmines.
Despite important differences, one can compare the effect of the assault on Congress to the effect of Rabin's assassination in our country.
The onslaught was solitary, and in fact neutralized the popular movement created by Trump within the Republican Party, just as Rabin's assassination delayed the delegitimization of the Oslo Accords.
Although Netanyahu was elected despite the murder and because of the attacks, for a long time the two-state idea remained dominant.
Only after years of terrorist attacks did his hold on public opinion weaken.
The impact of Rabin's assassination was one of the main reasons for the delay.
Both cases have something in common, with all the differences: in both the American case and the Israeli one, statehood itself was attacked, and the public in Israel and the US reacted to the attack with force.
Although Trump was very successful in leveraging political power from the social lawlessness that characterized the rule of the Republicans and Democrats before him.
He presented foreign and domestic policies for the victims of the policies of Presidents Bush and Democratic Presidents Clinton and Obama.
Trump succeeded in founding a strong popular movement that took over and still controls a large part of the Republican Party, and brought to it the support of many of those who were beaten by the neoliberal economic-social order.
But Trump failed in his attempt to maintain his rule in the 2020 electoral system, because of extremely harmful political statements throughout the years of his presidency until the low point in his speech in January 2021. This conduct will condemn the popular movement he founded to failure.
Republicans are now at a structural disadvantage: Trump still controls a large portion of their party, so only a combination of forces will block him in next year's primaries.
But even if such a union takes place, it will most likely be anti-popular, and therefore will cause Trump's supporters to coalesce around him in a "third party".
In both cases, both when Trump is at their head and when they are faced with a popular "third party" - in the American electoral system, the defeat of the Republicans is guaranteed, and with it, unfortunately, the defeat of the popular movement.
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