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Guillaume Tabard: “The keys to the Ciotti-Retailleau duel”

2022-12-06T19:10:02.438Z


COUNTERPOINT – While Éric Ciotti and Bruno Retailleau are the two finalists in the election of the president of the Republicans, all eyes are on Aurélien Pradié.


A 2016 scenario or a 2021 scenario?

This is the question of this second round at LR.

The 2016 scenario is that of the dynamic in favor of the former.

In the primary which opposed him to Alain Juppé and Nicolas Sarkozy, François Fillon had come out on top in the first round (44.08%) and had crushed the mayor of Bordeaux in the second (66.48%).

A unit reflex had played to give the favorite maximum legitimacy.

A year ago, however, Éric Ciotti came first (25.59%), but Valérie Pécresse then benefited from an “Everything but Ciotti”, taking it from 25% to 60.95%.

The results of Sunday's vote are intermediate.

The lead of the deputy from Nice over the senator from Vendée (8.27 points) is clear enough to make it difficult to form a majority front against him, but it is not overwhelming enough for the second round to be a simple consecration.

Read alsoLR Presidency: Éric Ciotti, a favorite under pressure

All eyes therefore turn to the third man, Aurélien Pradié.

Or rather towards his…

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Source: lefigaro

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