The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

From Putin friend to Kremlin enemy: Khodorkovsky describes three scenarios for the end of the Ukraine war

2022-12-15T21:24:10.848Z


From Putin friend to Kremlin enemy: Khodorkovsky describes three scenarios for the end of the Ukraine war Created: 12/15/2022, 10:05 p.m By: Fabian Mueller Kremlin critic and ex-oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky in March 2022 in Berlin © Bernd von Jutrczenka/dpa The former Russian oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky spoke in an interview about a possible end to the Ukraine war. He describes three concei


From Putin friend to Kremlin enemy: Khodorkovsky describes three scenarios for the end of the Ukraine war

Created: 12/15/2022, 10:05 p.m

By: Fabian Mueller

Kremlin critic and ex-oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky in March 2022 in Berlin © Bernd von Jutrczenka/dpa

The former Russian oligarch Mikhail Khodorkovsky spoke in an interview about a possible end to the Ukraine war.

He describes three conceivable scenarios.

Kyiv/Moscow - In a little over two months, the Russian invasion of Ukraine will last a year.

Thousands of deaths, immeasurable suffering, the war in Ukraine has permanently changed Europe's view of Vladimir Putin's Russia.

Mikhail Khodorkovsky is one of the people initially seen as a supporter and profiteer of Russian Putinism, but for many years has been a bitter enemy of the Kremlin.

In an interview with the

Tagesspiegel

, the formerly richest Russian (estimated fortune: 15 billion dollars) now spoke, among other things, about possible scenarios for an end to the war.

According to Khodorkovsky, there are three possibilities - the worst in his eyes: "The West tires and stops supporting Ukraine." That would allow Putin to reorient his country towards a war economy and, with one or two more mobilizations, to reach the Ukrainian capital of Kyiv .

Purin enemy Khodorkovsky describes three scenarios for the end of the Ukraine war

This scenario would spell doom for Ukraine, but for Putin it would just be another step to polish his damaged image in Russia.

Because even if he had more than two-thirds of Ukraine under control, according to Khodorkovsky, he would have to "continue to wage war" "in order to solve Russia's economic problems".

Scenario two describes a deadlocked war: "The conflict is frozen," says Khodorkovsky to the

Tagesspiegel

.

"15 percent of Ukraine remains occupied by Russia." Putin could take a deep breath, but then the war would continue because the national patriots in Russia would force him to take this step.

Video: Ex-oligarch Khodorkovsky explains why Putin attacked Ukraine

In the third variant, which Khodorkovsky calls “the best scenario”, the West continues to provide serious military support to Ukraine.

Then "Ukraine could recapture its territory at least up to the borders of February 24, 2022".

It is difficult to predict whether Crimea can also be won back.

For Khodorkovsky, however, it is clear that in this situation "Putin could lose power".

He hopes: "A peace agreement could be reached under a new Russian government." A scenario that many in the West would certainly subscribe to.

(fmu)

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2022-12-15

Trends 24h

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.