"Winter like it hasn't been in 12 years": Meteorologist makes forecast for snow on Christmas 2022

Created: 2022-12-17 05:03

By: Fabian Raddatz

Many would wish: Will there be a white Christmas in Germany?

Good news for snow fans: the signs are good.

Update from December 7th, 2022:

According to qualified meteorologist Dominik Jung from

, the chances of a white Christmas are better than they have been in twelve years: “December 2022 has not been as wintery as it has been in 12 years.

The last time it was really wintry was in December 2010,” says Jung.

December 2022 will be more wintry than it has been for 12 years.

The last time it was really wintry was in December 2010.

Jung: "Up until the 3rd of Advent, the wet and cold weather will continue with maximum values ​​of 0 to 5 degrees, from the 3rd of Advent there will be permafrost, there can be snow all the way down and it sometimes stays there," reports the kreiszeitung .de.

Snow on Christmas 2022: German weather service with hammer forecast

Update from December 06, 2022:

According to various weather models, the winter potential in December 2022 is great.

The German Weather Service even expects a snowstorm and minus 20 degrees!

According to the experts, a Siberian cold high is moving closer to Europe.

All previous long-term forecasts regarding the weather in December are thus thrown overboard.

We are talking about the cold peak "Erik", which would send a lot of cold to Europe again and again.

The “Bibber Winter” threatens in Germany.

It's getting colder and more permafrost is expected.

Northern Europe is particularly affected.

Some are happy, others not: Snow for Christmas.

© Jan Woitas/dpa-Zentralbild/dpa

But even in Central Europe, cold air masses would arrive again and again.

Snow would fall all the way down.

In Thuringia, Saxony, Bavaria, Hesse, Berlin and Brandenburg there is a possibility that it will snow.

There would also be a risk of slippery roads in places.

The lows in early December are usually around zero degrees Celsius.

Disturbed polar vortex: Special weather conditions can bring snow at Christmas 2022

Update from December 2nd, 2022:

Twelve years ago, a special weather situation caused a massive snowfall at Christmas in Germany.

According to information from the weather

, it could be that time again this year.

An unusual weather situation is currently building up, according to the portal.

A high over Scandinavia completely blocks the Atlantic frontal zone, which in turn means that the air masses are pushed towards Germany from the east.

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The circulation is absolutely disturbed, which also shifts the polar vortex, the so-called

.

The high over Greenland had already established itself there on December 5th, the polar vortex is being pushed east - Siberia, Kara and Barents Seas.

"An extraordinary and admirable weather development that you don't see that often," say the weather experts.

One that can certainly ensure a deep winter weather situation.

And with it a lot of snow.

Snow on Christmas 2022: That speaks for white holidays

Update from November 29, 2022:

According to the meteorologist Dominik Jung from wetter.net, snow on the 2nd Advent is quite possible: "I think: 60 percent for flakes falling on the 2nd Advent." It should be on that day will mostly be wet and cold, with snowflakes down to low altitudes.

"At night there is frost and the roads are slippery," says Jung.

But where the flakes will come down, where sleet and rain will fall, that is still uncertain.

According to an early weather model by the US weather service NOAA, the snow coat runs from Essen to Berlin, with some rashes to the north, up to a few kilometers from Hamburg.

Everything above the Hanseatic city is spared from the snow, as is the north-west of Lower Saxony and Bremen.

In the south, the snow front extends as far as Stuttgart and Nuremberg.

White Christmas Statistics: That's how often there was snow across the board on the holidays

A white Christmas is not only a great wish of many people in 2022, numerous Christmas fans have also hoped for snowfall in recent years - and have regularly been disappointed.

Statistics show that a white Christmas with blanket snow cover is a rare occurrence.

Since the DWD recorded it, there have only been six more or less nationwide white Christmases over three days in Germany: 1906, 1917, 1962, 1969, 1981 and 2010.

Regionally, of course, there are always white Christmases.

The chances of snow at Christmas 2022 could also be quite good in the south of Germany.

Meteorologists speak of a white Christmas when one centimeter of snow or more is measured on each Christmas day.

Snow on Christmas 2022: Experts agree

First report from November 27, 2022:

Berlin – Winter is starting in Germany, the temperatures are dropping just in time for December and Christmas.

But will that be enough to ensure snow on the holidays?

The signs for this are rather bad if one trusts the current weather models.

Because the experts agree on one thing, they see the weather trend of rising temperatures as unbroken.

A positive temperature rise of between +1.0 and +3.0 degrees can be assumed between December and February.

This means that it will be one to three degrees Celsius warmer than it was between 1961 and 1990. Compared to the past 30 years, there is also a trend towards higher temperatures.

White Christmas 2022: That speaks for snow in winter 2022

But even if none of the forecast models predicts a "normal" winter and December, January and February are warmer than in previous years - nothing can be ruled out.

According to the German Weather Service, it is difficult to predict how the weather will develop in winter 2022.

Some experts are even anticipating a “bibber winter”.

The precipitation could fall as snow and it could stay white until Christmas Eve.”

Graduate meteorologist Oliver Hantke

meteorologist Oliver Hantke also believes 

in a white Christmas “miracle”.

Despite the currently very mild temperatures, the expert says: "The monthly forecast for December sees a sharp drop in temperature right in the direction of Christmas Eve." The result: "The precipitation could fall as snow and it could remain white until Christmas Eve."

Of course, it is not certain that there could be a white Christmas in 2022.

With so much advance notice, the weather could change its mind.

But: "The weather computers for the experimental long-term forecasts are currently calculating exactly this cold weather situation at Christmas."

The weather expert also sees a cold snap in Germany at the end of November.

However, there is probably no precipitation during this time, which is why a white first Advent is rather unlikely.

Snow on Christmas 2022: That speaks against it

Meteorologist Corinna Borau from 

 considers snowflakes in December and thus in winter 2022 in Germany to be extremely unlikely.

In addition to the higher temperatures, the low expected precipitation speaks against snow and a white Christmas.

"If the month as a whole looks rather dry and too mild, then no masses of snow are to be expected," says Borau.

According to the meteorologist, January will not be a “snow bomb” either.

"But the average weather in January also means frost and snow, but overall the month is often characterized by high pressure phases".

According to Borau, January will still "feel like winter".

Since it will remain dry, snow is only to be expected sporadically.

In February, the chances are not good due to increasing precipitation, but better than in the previous months.

Weather in winter 2022/23: Frost and snow at the start of the Advent season

Just in time for the beginning of the Advent season, the temperatures in Germany are falling noticeably.

According to the German Weather Service (DWD), from Monday, November 28th, only single-digit values ​​will be reached nationwide - in many places there will even be frost at night.

In the east, strong winds also ensure "that the perceived temperature is only just around freezing point," said a DWD meteorologist on Saturday, November 26, 2022 in Offenbach.

In addition, there are many clouds in the sky, which will ensure snow in the Black Forest from Tuesday.

There is light permafrost in the eastern and south-eastern low mountain ranges.

This is how the weather will be in December 2022: will there be a white Christmas?

Before that, however, the changeable weather of the past few days will remain.

"On Sunday there is a new round of the sun-fog lottery," said the meteorologist.

The best chances of sunshine are in the Black Forest, in the Alps and on the northern edges of the low mountain ranges.

According to the information, rain clouds are gathering in north-west Germany, which will reach the region between Eifel and Flensburg in the evening.

The maximum values ​​​​oscillate between two degrees on the Danube and ten degrees in North Rhine-Westphalia.