Almost everyone
“seems to have got used to the idea of a coming recession”,
whether
“businesses, consumers or markets.
The President of the American Federal Reserve has also stopped talking about a soft landing for the economy,”
summarizes the investment company Schroders in an end-of-year note.
The US central bank will undoubtedly continue to tighten its monetary policy.
Economists are counting on an increase in its rates to 5.25% in the coming months against a range of 4.25% to 4.5% currently.
Is mass said?
The Fed assumes the risk of pushing the economy into recession next year.
But the fall is not certain.
Positioning itself away from a consensus that expects growth of +0.3%, Schroders anticipates a drop of 1%.
“
We forecast a slight technical recession for the United States in the first half of 2023, with GDP remaining stable over the year”
, anticipated for its part…
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