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Why the French demographic crisis is becoming a national emergency

2023-01-03T16:17:04.037Z


FIGAROVOX/TRIBUNE - The fall in the birth rate will, in the long term, have serious consequences for the financing of our social protection and will weigh heavily on our economic growth, warns senior civil servant Tristan Claret-Trentelivres.


Tristan Claret-Trentelivres is a former student of the ENA, senior civil servant and teacher at the "Prep'ENA" of Paris I-ENS.

In the almost total indifference of observers, France entered into a demographic crisis.

In October 2022, the number of births was 10% lower than in October 2021, this sharp drop confirming figures already in sharp decline in September.

If it is too early to know if it is a lasting drop or a simple low point, this worrying fall is not, far from it, a thunderclap in a serene sky.

Since 2015, the total fertility indicator (ICF), which measures the average number of children per woman, has continued to decline, slowly but surely.

From 2.0 in 2015, it was 1.83 in 2021, now far from the replacement rate of 2.1, making it possible to stabilize the population excluding migratory flows.

The apparent indifference of governments, the media and observers to this worrying heavy trend...

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Source: lefigaro

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