When everything seemed like a honeymoon for the new president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, winner of the elections, and when the country's democratic forces celebrated the news of his government, suddenly the most radical Bolsonaro serpent has raised its head and dared against all prohibitions and threats to try to invade the National Congress à la Trump.
What is most strange is that everything seemed at peace and that until yesterday politicians who were supporters of Bolsonaro, after his inglorious decision to leave the country, were approaching Lula and his new government without shawls.
His victory seemed complete and the leaders of his Cabinet considered the Brasilia skirmishes of Bolsonaro fanatics who refused to leave the capital as innocuous residue that would end up tiring of their protests and giving up their coup airs.
More information
Follow live the reactions to the assault on institutions in Brasilia
What happened this Sunday in Brasilia and in some other cities in the country, against all expectations and defying the threats of the new government, has ended up alarming, however, since it is still unknown who is behind those thousands of Bolsonaristas who arrived in the capital in One hundred buses, mostly from the rich south of the country, apparently paid for by businessmen still loyal to Bolsonaro from the conservative and fascist group of agribusiness.
It is possible that the new government and Lula's good relations with the military will end up dispelling the fears and attempts of the protesters who want the military to carry out a coup to overthrow the new progressive government.
It is the hypothesis of the most optimistic who see in the demonstrations the last blow of the discontent that will end in borage waters.
There is, however, a latent, since before Lula's victory, a subtle and dangerous theory about the boundaries between street protests and freedom of expression.
It is the argument that the military most sympathetic to the Bolsonaristas embrace who allege that the right to protests, as long as they are not violent, is guaranteed by the Constitution.
And therein lies at this moment the difficult balance between democratic protest and attempts to bring down the new democratically sanctioned government at the ballot box.
Hence the importance of how the attempts to invade Congress, although empty today, and to continue with acts of physical violence and petitioning the military forces to declare the illegality of the elections and act against the new government, can end.
A government to which they do not lend authority, since they continue with the litany that the elections were not fair and they stole Bolsonaro's victory, nothing more similar to what we already saw in the United States with the defeat of Trump.
All of this indicates that Bolsonaro is still active since his voluntary exile in the United States and from here, in Brazil, through his most faithful followers, especially the world of businessmen who have frowned on Lula's return, whom they follow. considered as "communist".
When it comes to dispatching this analysis, all the attention is focused on what the military closest to Bolsonaro can think and decide.
If there are no surprises, the hope of the new government, willing to use force against the coup leaders, is that they act with lead feet so that, without having to confront the protesters with the force of arms, they manage to convince them to return to their homes. houses.
All of this to avoid a violent confrontation with the police forces that could tarnish the climate of dialogue and political and social peace created by the hope that the arrival of a new government is opening up, in which, for the first time, representatives of all the estates of the country, even those until now always left in the gutter.
Among the 37 ministers of the new Lula government there are indeed representatives of the lowest categories of society who had never been part of a national government in the past.
The result of diplomacy and the firmness of Lula's government will depend on whether the not very peaceful attempts of the last blows of radical Bolsonarism, which are already beginning to spread from Brasilia to Sao Paolo and which could multiply in the coming days, end diluting without major consequences or they can be strengthened with the consent of the part of the Armed Forces that continue, although in the shadows, supporting the coup appetite of Bolsonarismo.
A Bolsonarismo that should not be confused with the right that, although with disgust, has democratically accepted the result of the polls.
Subscribe here to the EL PAÍS America
newsletter
and receive all the latest news from the region
Subscribe to continue reading
Read without limits
Keep reading
I'm already a subscriber