64 or 65?
The government is preparing to unveil on Tuesday its explosive pension reform against which the unions are already planning to demonstrate, ulcerated at the idea of a postponement of the retirement age.
“
If Emmanuel Macron wants to make it his mother of reforms, for us it will be the mother of battles
”, warns the secretary general of FO Frédéric Souillot.
Even the reformist CFDT warned: “there will be no deal”.
"
It must be clear, even with positive measures on long careers or hardship, we remain opposed to the reform with an age measure
", insists Laurent Berger, its secretary general
.
Something to amuse Philippe Martinez, secretary general of the CGT, who joked about the "feat" of the executive who "
succeeded in uniting the unions against the reform
”, for the first time in 12 years.
In addition to the opposition of the unions, the government must also reckon with that of the French.
More than two-thirds (68%) say they are unfavorable to the postponement to 64, according to an Ifop-Fiducial poll.
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Because, if nothing has been officially declared on the retirement age before the presentation of the reform next Tuesday, the track of 64 years seems to be confirmed.
According to
L'Opinion
, this option would have been chosen by the executive, with a decline of three months per generation for those born after 1968, to reach the age of 64 in 2030. A trend consistent with the exit of Emmanuel Macron last October when he “opened the door” to retirement at age 64, in return for an extension of the contribution period.
Ditto with the declaration of Elisabeth Borne who had assured, at the beginning of the week, that the postponement to 65 years was not a "
totem
".
Asked about the trail of 64 years, Gabriel Attal, Minister of Public Accounts,
is one of the possible avenues
.
"
Whatever the choice, the reform will allow the return to balance of our system in 2030, as committed to by Elisabeth Borne
", declared the former government spokesperson in the Journal du dimanche (JDD) .
Read alsoRetirements: understand everything about the challenges of the reform in nine infographics
The postponement of the retirement age would be associated with an increase in the lengthening of the contribution period, which would increase to 43 years before the 2035 horizon set by the Touraine reform of 2014 which the government wishes to accelerate.
The executive would also be ready to raise, during the parliamentary debate, the minimum pension to 1200 euros for all retirees and not only for new entrants.
On the employment of seniors, an “
index
” would be set up on the model of gender equality, with the obligation to negotiate an agreement in the event
of “lack of communication
” on this index.
On the arduousness, the Minister of Labor Olivier Dussopt claims to have "
responded
" to the reformist unions, evoking "
enhanced medical monitoring
” for “
ergonomic risks
”.
January 23 in the Council of Ministers
Failing to seduce the unions and the French, the government seems to have succeeded in convincing the elected LR.
Their president Éric Ciotti says he is ready, in the
JDD
, to "vote a fair reform" and spread over time, with a starting age raised to 64 in 2032 and a minimum of 1200 euros including for current retirees.
A choice "
welcomed
" by the Minister of Public Accounts Gabriel Attal.
An LR vote would allow the executive not to draw 49-3 to have its reform adopted by the National Assembly, which should go through an amending Social Security financing bill, as confirmed this Sunday. Gabriel Attal on France 3.
Read also“Pension reform: please don’t back down from 65!”
The pension reform will be presented on Tuesday January 10 and then examined by the Council of Ministers on January 23.
The bill must pass in committee at the National Assembly from January 30, and in the hemicycle on February 6, for two weeks, according to parliamentary sources.
But the unions, which meet on Tuesday evening, plan to mobilize before these dates.
For its part, the left, fiercely opposed to the reform, has planned to hold a meeting on January 10 and to demonstrate on January 21.
