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A new survey measured ballots for the presidential election and a candidate minister did very badly

2023-01-16T13:57:50.018Z


It is a study by Zuban Córdoba. He evaluated nine hand in hand between opponents and leaders of the Frente de Todos.


When the alliances have not even been formed yet, thinking about a second ballot may sound out of time.

But since the next presidential election will most likely be decided by heads-up, because the polarization has diminished, the consultants are measuring this type of scenario.

and a

new poll

to which Clarín

agreed ,

raised

nine possibilities for the second round

.

With results of all kinds,

an official candidate who did very badly stands out: he did not reach 20 points

.

It is the Minister of the Interior,

Eduardo "Wado" de Pedro

, who has been trying to establish himself, especially given the possibility that his political chief, Vice Cristina Kirchner, will not show up.

The studio is by

Zuban Córdoba

.

It is the union of two consultancies:

Zuban

, specialized more in consumer issues;

and

Córdoba

, focused on politics.

Its director, Gustavo Córdoba, is a well-known analyst with contacts on both sides of the gap.

His works usually circulate in Casa Rosada, for example;

and in his homonymous province, he linked up with the Peronism of Juan Schiaretti and the radicals of Mario Negri.

Its latest survey was made based on

1,300 national interviews

, with +/- 2.72% margin of error.

It included telephone and face-to-face contacts.

The leaders evaluated in ballots were the

oficialistas De Pedro, Sergio Massa and Axel Kicillof

, and the

opponents Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, Patricia Bullrich and Javier Milei

.

Opposition Preeminence: 8 to 1

In all cases, the opposition candidates prevail, except in a one-on-one in which Massa appears above Milei.

The libertarian economist ends up defeated in the three ballots

in which he was evaluated.

In

scenarios 1 and 2

,

Milei

confronts the representatives of the PRO.

First with Larreta and then with Bullrich

.

With the head of Government, she loses

34.5% to 24.4%

, with more than 41% undecided;

and with the former minister, she falls

from 28.4% to 25.3%

, with 46.3% "does not know / does not answer."

In

scenario 9

, meanwhile, the

representative of La Libertad Avanza faces Massa

, and the Minister of Economy prevails

36.9% to 32.3%

, with 30.8% undecided.

The biggest difference, however, is made by the

Macrista candidates

when they

face De Pedro

.

The minister has a basic weakness compared to his rivals: the lower level of knowledge of him.

Regarding the votes, against

Larreta

it falls

from 41.9% to 17%

(

scenario 3

, with 41.1% undecided) and against

Bullrich

,

from 37.2% to 18.8%

(

scenario 4

, 44% "ns / nc").

The

other Kirchnerist evaluated

is Governor

Kicillof

.

Although

he also loses

against the leaders of Juntos por el Cambio,

he clearly fares better than De Pedro

.

In

scenario 5

,

Larreta

beat him

42.1% to 28%

, with 29.9% undecided.

And in

scenario 6

he faces

Bullrich

, who defeats him

37.2% to 29.8%

(33% "dk / nc").

Finally, there are the clashes between the head of government and the former Minister of Security against Massa.

Both beat the head of Economy, but with different gaps.

Larreta surpasses him 39.8% to 34.2% (

scenario 7

, with 25.9% undecided) and Bullrich, only by tenths, 36.3% to 35.4% (

scenario 8

, 28.3% "ns /nc").

Zuban Córdoba

's study

does not evaluate the two greatest exponents of the crack, Cristina Kirchner and Mauricio Macri.

Nor to President Alberto Fernández, who maintains some hope of being able to try an encore.

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-01-16

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