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Pension reform: in Parliament, a restricted timetable


The draft law on pensions, presented to the Council of Ministers in a week, must be examined in committee at the National Assembly at the beginning of February.

In the Assembly, the pension reform will be fiercely debated.

This, on a tight schedule.

While it will be presented to the Council of Ministers on January 23, the bill will be examined in committee at the National Assembly at the beginning of February, and debated in public session in the Hemicycle from February 6.

From there, as with all budgetary texts - this one being presented in an amending Social Security financing bill (PLFSSR) -, the parliamentarians of the Palais Bourbon and the Senate will have a total of 50 days to discuss and amend it.

Including 20 days for the first reading in the National Assembly, examination in committee included, as required by article 47.1 of the Constitution.

A delay that could prevent the rebels, who plan to file thousands of amendments to prolong the debates and mobilize in the streets, from obstructing the discussions for too long.

A project sent directly as is to the Senate

Because if, within the 20-day period granted to the deputies to debate the text at first reading, it is not fully examined, the bill is then sent directly as it stands to the Senate, without the government needs to be enforced by resorting to Article 49.3 of the Constitution.

And without the executive therefore having to undergo yet another motion of censure, this time potentially more dangerous.

Read also Pension reform: the Nupes dreams of a new “December 1995”

"If the text is not voted on at first reading, we can immediately point the finger at LFI and their strategy of systematic obstruction",

deciphers a heavyweight in the presidential camp, who wants to think that

"thanks to this constitutional provision"

the reform could move forward

'without too much difficulty'

in Parliament.

Find an agreement within a joint committee

If this scenario were true, the bill would then go to the Senate, where the parliamentarians of the Upper House, with an LR majority, vote each year for a pension reform in many points similar to this one.

It would then be adopted without too many problems – except for a last minute surprise – in view of the position displayed by the boss of the LR senators, at the head of the largest group in the Senate.

“I don't see how we can not vote for a reform that has been awaited for years”,

repeated Bruno Retailleau several times in recent days.

Read also Pension reform: maintaining LR unity, President Ciotti's first challenge

Then, there would only be to find an agreement within a joint committee (CMP).

And the consensus would not be difficult to obtain, if we are to believe the positions of each other.

"Right-wing senators and majority deputies will be in numerical superiority in the CMP, which will easily make it possible to find a landing point in view of the deal between Les Républicains and Élisabeth Borne"

, analyzes a Renaissance deputy.

Validate the text

Then, if all goes as planned, the deputies would only have to validate the text resulting from the CMP during a solemn vote at second reading in the National Assembly.

And the executive should be able to find a majority, after the agreement with Les Républicains – and despite the reluctance of a number of LR deputies.

But for all, mistrust is in order.

“A plan that unfolds perfectly, for a reform of this magnitude, it never happens.

There will inevitably be adventures”,

anticipates this parliamentarian from the Macron camp.

Source: lefigaro

All news articles on 2023-01-16

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