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Relations with the USA - Israel's most significant security challenge | Israel Today

2023-01-23T16:08:04.712Z


From Iran to the Palestinians - many of the security issues we know well are expected to sharpen and intensify during the coming year as well • Furthermore, the former head of the IDF, Major General Tamir Heyman, warned the president that the internal division in Israel threatens the functioning of the IDF in the long term • but Above all the challenges that are essential to Israel's global position • Against the background of the progressive camp's grip on the hearts of young Americans, Israel needs the support of its most important friend


At the beginning of the new year, Israel is a strong country both in terms of its military power and its international status, but many of the security challenges are expected to sharpen and increase during the coming year.

At the top of the list is the relationship with the US, which is expected to be the main challenge for 2023.

Iran stands a step away from becoming a nuclear threshold state - its nuclear program is at the most advanced and dangerous point ever.

Iran also continues with massive conventional armaments and standing by Russia in the war against Ukraine gives it a certain safety net against Western sanctions.

The Revolutionary Guards in Iran (archive), photo: AFP

Fear of a Palestinian facial shower

At the same time, in the Palestinian arena, the year 2023 is expected to be marked by Israel's confrontation with a "perfect storm".

This is the arena where the risk of explosions is the highest in the coming months.

The internal struggles in Palestinian society are expected to prevail as part of the preparation of all parties for the day after Abu Mazen.

These are struggles that are fueled by the frustration of young Palestinians with what they see as a corrupt Palestinian Authority that does not provide them with any horizon or future.

The danger of a violent flare-up as a result of the internal unrest there and as a result of Israel's potential moves exists and is increasing.

We have been seeing its buds in the field for some time now.

For example, in that every routine arrest activity by the IDF in Jenin and Nablus becomes a battleground, with increasing numbers of Palestinian casualties and an increase in terrorist attacks across and within the Green Line. The Palestinian campaign is expected to continue on the international level as well in light of the attempt to delegitimize Israel's actions and its right to defend herself.

The other arenas are also buzzing, including the northern arena.

Regarding it, it must be examined whether the original goals of the BBM are still relevant to the changing reality and whether Israel is not enslaving the campaign between the wars instead of enslaving the campaign to its changing needs.

Will evil develop from a conscience?

Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, photo: Arab Networks

The assessment submitted by the Institute for National Security Studies to the President does not ignore the fact that the developing reality on the various fronts are all challenged by the intensifying internal polarization in Israeli society.

This polarization threatens to harm a critical component of Israel's national security - social resilience.

This is a subject that also causes sleeplessness in the eyes of the heads of the security establishment who at the end of the day command the people's army.

The IDF is a reflection of Israeli society and therefore internal storms do not miss it. The sharp divisions that are expected to deepen this year will oblige the new Minister of Defense and the new Chief of Staff to leave the IDF out of any political consideration. This is simply not expected to happen.

Relations with the USA - where?

But above all the challenges mentioned in these lines, the INSS has identified the special relationship with the USA as the main threat for 2023. It must be understood and internalized - this relationship is a critical element in Israel's security concept.

There are voices that have been heard recently and seek to question Israel's dependence on these ties with the US, while putting forward proposals to examine alternatives. The institute's determination is unequivocal - there is no substitute for the US, not in the security field, not in the diplomatic security network, and not in the values ​​field.

The intensification of polarization and extremism on both sides of the political barrier within the United States is eroding the political system that supports Israel.

The hold of the progressive camp on the younger generation, which denies the legitimacy of Israel and Zionism, being, in its view, an expression of white-colonialist supremacy, along with the strengthening of anti-Semitism and racism, challenge the legitimacy and status that Israel has enjoyed in the United States for many years.

Pro-Palestinians demonstrate in New York against Israel (for illustration), photo: GettyImages

Israeli moves that will be perceived as an attack on democracy and will change the pattern of relations with the Palestinians, as well as steps that will be portrayed as insufficient identification with the United States and the West in the context of competition with China and especially with Russia, may add to this damage - not only among the public but also in the ranks of the government.

Israel's way to successfully deal with any of the external threats to it is through the strategic alliance with the US. Israel is not a widower and it does not mean that Israel will not act alone when necessary, but this special relationship increases the projection of Israel's power by tens of meters.

Israel is a mandatory stop for many countries due to the fact that it is a great friend of the USA. Thus, the Abraham Accords and everything that followed them would not have emerged into the world air without those special relations. In the face of the Iranian gallop towards the bomb, in the face of the possibility of a wide flare-up in the Palestinian arena - Israel needs its most important friendship, now as before, now maybe even more than before.

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Source: israelhayom

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