The six weeks of protests in Peru are beginning to take their toll on the economy.
There are already losses of more than 500 million dollars
in most of the country's economic activities due to the cuts and stoppages imposed by the protesters,
with no way out
of the serious political and social crisis in the Andean nation yet in sight.
When the economic actors thought that the departure of the leftist Pedro Castillo from the presidency, due to a failed coup attempt, would bring improvements to the country's macroeconomic expectations, the protests intensified and
also demanded the resignation of his successor Dina Boluarte
.
The demonstrations rejecting Boluarte began in the south of the country as soon as he took office, on December 7, and spread to almost the entire territory, after the first deaths from police repression occurred, which
now exceed the 60 deaths
.
The President of Peru, Dina Boluarte.
Photo: EFE
After six weeks of protests, with a week of truce for Christmas, the economic losses have risen to 2,150 million soles (about 554 million dollars), as confirmed this week by the Minister of Economy, Alex Contreras.
the south paralyzed
The most affected regions are the southern Cuzco, Madre de Dios and Puno, which
have had road cuts since December
and are already suffering from fuel shortages and high food prices.
Contreras estimated that if a quick dialogue between the parties is not achieved and the conflict continues,
the Peruvian economy will only grow 2% in the first quarter of 2023
, but if there is a reactivation as a result of a political consensus, the rise in GDP would be of at least 3%.
The roadblocks begin to claim millions in losses to the Peruvian economy.
photo: AP
However, the inflation analyzed in January will very possibly be around 9% precisely because of the protests, the minister announced, although he hoped it would be a temporary increase.
One million people out of work
A study by the Lima Chamber of Commerce warned this week that one million jobs, equivalent to 27.8% of formal employment in Peru,
are at risk of being lost due to protests
.
The strikes and roadblocks
mainly affect mining
(52.6%), the agricultural sector (51%), manufacturing (32.3%) and construction (31%), among others.
The chamber pointed out that the losses are also recorded in public investment that every day is equivalent to 71 million soles (18 million dollars).
blow to tourism
But if there is an activity that is currently in recession, it is tourism, since the focus of the protest demonstrations is in the regions that have the greatest attractions for receptive tourism, such as
Cuzco and Puno
in the south of the Andes , as well as the Amazonian Madre de Dios. .
The protests in Peru have already been going on for six weeks, and 60 deaths have been claimed.
Photo: AP
No tourists in Machu Picchu
Cuzco is home to the Inca citadel of Machu Picchu which, due to protests, has had to stop operations at its airport and the trains that lead to that archaeological center several times.
Puno is the highland region that has the highest navigable lake in the world, Titicaca, but
the route that connects it with Bolivia
and the rest of the country is blocked.
Likewise, Madre de Dios has some of the most attractive national parks in the tropical jungle, bordering Brazil and Bolivia, but it was the first region to be left without gas and fuel supplies due to the blockades.
The president of the Peruvian Association of Travel and Tourism Agencies (Apavit), Ricardo Acosta, explained to the EFE agency that the current situation is that "
there are many (micro-enterprises in the sector) that have already closed
, there are many people who unfortunately lost their jobs and the shock is very hard."
Peru used to receive 4.6 million tourists before the pandemic
, but this year the expectation
was reduced to less than half a million
visitors, Acosta said, because "the receptive tourism reservations that we had, I calculate, until May have already been cancelled. ".
Police guard the entrance to the train station that takes people to the ruins of Machu Picchu.
Photo: AFP
The representative added that this crisis "unfortunately not only affects the tourism production chain, but the country's production chain in general. The situation is complicated, I hope the situation will be reversed."
Measures to resume public works
Faced with the paralysis, which generates uncertainty in the economy, the government announced the
Con Punche
(force) program to resume public works delayed by the social upheaval and financing for micro-enterprises that make up most of the business map in Peru.
However, the possibility that the Executive branch can carry out this program in the transition period, as Boluarte has defined it, clashes with
the difficulty it is having to recover stability
and be able to govern until early elections in a year or less. .
EFE Agency
look too
Evo Morales and his link to the protests in Peru: "If I were, I would be received by the people as an acclamation"
Crisis in Peru: Boluarte said that if Congress does not advance elections, it will go for a constitutional reform