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Russian revenge on the anniversary of the invasion? Zelenskyj sees indications for "symbolic action"

2023-02-05T21:31:18.534Z


There are signs that Russia is planning a new Ukraine offensive. But with a premature attack, Putin could also make a big mistake.


There are signs that Russia is planning a new Ukraine offensive.

But with a premature attack, Putin could also make a big mistake.

Update from February 5, 10:22 p.m .:

In view of the approaching anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, its President Volodymyr Zelenskyy warned of a “symbolic action” by the occupiers.

There are already numerous reports and references to this, said Selenskyj on Sunday evening in his daily video address.

Russia wants to take revenge for the defeats of the past year.

"We note that the pressure on various areas of the front and also in the information sector has increased." Russia began the aggressive war against Ukraine on February 24 of the previous year.

The situation in the Donetsk region is currently particularly difficult.

"But no matter how difficult it is and how great the pressure is, we have to survive," Zelenskyj said.

Ukraine must use every day and week to strengthen frontline defenses and the country's international position.

Kyiv warns of February offensive – is Putin making the next big mistake in the Ukraine war?

First report from February 5:

Kiev - Experts have been seeing signs for a long time that Russia could start a new large-scale offensive in the Ukraine war.

It was mostly estimated that Moscow could be militarily ready for such a strike by spring or summer.

But now the Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksiy Resnikov is warning of a possible offensive by Russia - before the end of February.

According to Reznikov, Vladimir Putin's Russia could launch a new offensive around the anniversary of the start of the invasion on February 24, more for symbolic reasons.

US insiders also see a possible “decisive Donbass offensive”.

At the same time, the Ukrainian defense minister added that Russia's military is not actually militarily ready for such an attack at this point.

For example, new Russian reserves are not yet available.

New Russian Ukraine offensive in February?

From the Russian point of view, however, such an attack might have the advantage that not all of the promised Western weapons have arrived in Ukraine, Resnikov continued.

The politician nonetheless assured that his country had enough reserves to repel an attack.

Pictures of the Ukraine war: great horror and small moments of happiness

Pictures of the Ukraine war: great horror and small moments of happiness

The historian and Eastern Europe journalist Nikolay Mitrokhin also assumes that Russia will not be able to carry out major operations until May or even June.

Then the spring will be over and the fields will be dry, Mitrokhin told

ntv

.

However, he also agrees: “Another question is whether the Russian leadership understands that.

Maybe they will start a big offensive as early as February.” However, according to the Ukraine expert, Russia currently does not have enough ammunition for such a strike.

Is Putin making Ukraine's next big mistake?

+

Russian President Vladimir Putin meets with members of patriotic youth organizations at the Battle of Stalingrad Panorama Museum February 2, 2023 in Volgograd, Russia.

© IMAGO/Mikhail Klimentyev/Kremlin Pool

The experts at the US think tank Institute for the Study of War came to a similar conclusion in an analysis at the end of January.

"Russia's military failures in the Kyiv, Kharkiv and Kherson oblasts have repeatedly shown that the Russian military leadership overestimates the Russian military's own capabilities," it said.

If Reznikov is right, Putin's Russia could make the same mistake again.

Accordingly, US experts do not consider a premature offensive by Russia to be impossible.

List of rubrics: © IMAGO/Pool /Ukrainian Presidentia

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2023-02-05

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