Another onion weekend awaits Spain, in which it will be time to dress in layers, with warm clothes that will be needed first thing in the morning and will be left over at noon.
They will be days of anticyclonic weather, that is, stable and with generally clear skies, in a good part of the interior of the peninsula, which will cause generalized night frosts, which will be -6° or more in the northern half and the central zone, while The rough sea continues in the Andalusian Mediterranean, with waves of four to five meters and very strong gusts of wind, advances Rubén del Campo, spokesman for the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet).
These winds will arrive loaded with humidity, so some light rain may occur on the coast and other points in the southeast.
There will also be showers in the Canary Islands on Saturday and calima on Sunday.
Thus, this Friday and Saturday, the highlight will be the "intense Levante wind" that will blow around the Strait and in coastal areas of southern Andalusia, with an orange warning - the second in a scale of three - due to gusts that locally they can exceed 90 or even 100 kilometers per hour.
In addition, there will be a maritime storm with waves of four to five meters.
This wind will carry cloudiness, so it may rain lightly in points of the extreme south and southeast of the Peninsula, with snowfall in the mountains of eastern Andalusia from 800/1,000 meters.
Tomorrow, Saturday, weak rainfall is expected in the SE of the peninsula (snow level 800/1,200 m in the southeastern mountains) with temperatures below normal, except in the northern third, minimums below and temperature fluctuations of up to 20ºC in isolated points pic.twitter.com/EW8icQajtg
– AEMET (@AEMET_Esp) February 10, 2023
Night temperatures will drop slightly on Saturday, so "intense cold will be the protagonist in the interior of the Peninsula", with widespread frost in the northern half and central area and in many points it will drop from -5 or -6°.
The daytime temperatures, on the other hand, "will recover": they will reach 10°/12° in a good part of the peninsular interior, more than 14° on the Cantabrian and Mediterranean coasts, and more than 18° in the Guadalquivir valley.
In the Canary Islands, on Friday and Saturday there is a possibility of widespread showers, which could be locally strong on the higher relief islands.
On Sunday and Monday "the anticyclonic weather will continue", with temperatures that will continue to rise.
Even so, Sunday morning will be very cold again, which is why widespread frosts will be reproduced in the interior of the northern half and central area of the Peninsula and in Mallorca.
On Monday temperatures will continue to rise and it will no longer drop below -4° in too many areas.
In the central hours of the day, it will exceed 10° in most of Spain, with about 18° on the shores of the Cantabrian Sea and points in the southern Mediterranean, and more than 20° in the Guadalquivir valley.
squall in sight
These two days the skies will be slightly cloudy in general, although on Sunday there will be some clouds in the south of the Mediterranean area and on Monday also around the Levante area, without ruling out that some drops may fall.
In addition, the Levante wind will continue to blow strongly in the Strait and in the rest of the extreme south of Andalusia.
In the Canary Islands, slightly cloudy skies will predominate on Sunday, with the presence of haze that could continue on Monday, although it is also possible that the skies will cloud over and it may rain on the western islands, generally lightly.
Next week a rise in thermometers is expected in most of the country, with values that will be above normal except in the Mediterranean area.
As of Tuesday, a storm will probably approach the south of the Peninsula.
Cloudiness will increase and it could rain in the Mediterranean area, western Andalusia and other points in the western half of the peninsula.
This storm "will promote the arrival of southerly winds, which will raise temperatures for another day."
The frosts will already be weak and will be limited to areas of the northern plateau, we stop in the center and mountains.
On Wednesday it is likely that the storm will drop rain, especially in areas of Extremadura, Andalusia, western Castilla-La Mancha and points in the central area, without ruling it out in other areas except in the extreme north.
During the following days, the rainfall will spread to the Mediterranean regions.
Temperatures will continue to rise on Wednesday and the night frosts will gradually decrease, while the snow will be confined to mountain areas.
In the Canary Islands it is also possible that in those central days of the next week there will be precipitation in the north of the islands of greater relief.
A rainy spring?
Ending the drought depends on it
Aemet advances that the last week of February "will be dry", while for the first of March "there is no clear sign".
From there, the prediction models bet on "a circulation of storms close to the Peninsula", which would leave rain in the western half and central area.
However, Del Campo warns that in spring -the season, in meteorology, begins on March 1- the atmosphere is very variable, which adds uncertainty to a long-term prediction already with high uncertainty.
So far in the hydrological year ―from October 1 to February 7―, an average of 298 liters per square meter have fallen in Spain, barely 2% below the normal value.
"In these four months the normal rain has been collected, thanks above all to the rainfall in December and January, but the meteorological drought continues, which has only partially alleviated", contextualizes Del Campo.
For it to do so, the spring rainfall will be decisive and, although the signs for March are encouraging, "it is too early to confirm it."
Longer term, there is disparity in the seasonal forecast for March, April and May.
"The models do not agree, beyond a possible tendency to rains higher than usual in points of the Mediterranean area, while in the rest of the country it is not known what will happen," concludes Del Campo.