The JxC intern in the Province: poll war, imminent announcements and how to weaken Axel Kicillof and Javier Milei

One more vote is enough to be governor of the

.

The most emblematic case is that of

, who almost eight years ago surprised everyone by narrowly winning a one-on-one with

that ended up being decisive for

to be elected president a month later in the ballotage.

The

in the provincial electoral legislation, on the other hand,

the candidates for the governorship of

today .

That there are many, six months from the STEP and still far from names beginning to be ruled out.

At least six names appear within the PRO to compete for the succession of Axel Kicillof:

,

,

,

and

.

Two others, meanwhile, are running as possible candidates for radicalism:

and

.

Although it could also be added, in case there is an electoral agreement,

and

.

In the polls, a clear candidate

Of those ten names, today there is one that has a clear advantage over the rest, at least in the

.

Working on his candidacy since the day after he was elected Buenos Aires national deputy in November 2021,

, as the case may be, the rest of his rivals within the JxC internal.

With the backing of

as the main political staff, "Colo" has also been building good ties with mayors from the interior and the suburbs, but above all it is ahead of the rest in building a close link

, which has Maximiliano Abad as headline,

, recently launched as a pre-candidate for president by the Civic Coalition.

In addition, although they do not promote it, it is finely tuned in the relationship with Macri, Patricia Bullrich and María Eugenia Vidal, the other national applicants within the PRO.

Circuit Survey.

These factors seem to give him a plus over the rest, which up to now is reflected in the polls.

The newest is one from

, who in a total package of eight Cambiemita pre-candidates places him with 11.2% of voting intentions, seven points above Ritondo (4.2%) and well above the rest of the possible contenders in the primaries.

Between all of them, they round up 27.6%, which is not enough to reach the 32.2 points that, in principle, Kicillof and Martín Insaurralde add, the two who polled the Frente de Todos.

In another scenario for governor of

, the difference he makes is more noticeable.

He reaches 28.4 points against 7.5 for Ritondo, which is below Espert, who climbs to 7.6%.

If the three were added, in the event that the economist finally joined JxC, they would reach 43.5% and would surpass Kirchnerism by a good margin, which has Kicillof in the sample with 33.9% and Insaurralde with 5 .8%, an overall of 39.7%.

A third report from February, from

, places Kicillof with 24.6%, Santilli with 16.7%, Ritondo with 9.4% and Insaurralde with 5.8%.

The surprise there is once again Espert, with 8.3% of possible votes.

The libertarian leg, increasingly necessary

José Luis Espert, one of those wanted by JxC. Photo: Federico López Claro.

This latest survey, perhaps like no other, reflects that

on the ballot for governor, if it wants to weaken Javier Milei, the presidential candidate who has been trading between 10 and 15 points since before to start the campaign and that he has not yet defined his candidate for governor.

In the 2021 legislative elections,

obtained 7.5 percentage points and became a national deputy from his Avanza Libertad front, while another 2.9% went to

, today a Buenos Aires official, but with expectations of competing again for the governorship as referent of the ascendant evangelical vote.

Between them they exceeded one million votes, a not insignificant figure that can overturn the election of one side or the other.

Santilli

, who is preparing his already celebrated launch for these days,

to strengthen the electoral offer.

But from the PRO he imagines himself as the only candidate, beyond the fact that Bullrich explicitly supports the Grindetti-De La Torre-Iguacel tandem, and that Macri supports the mayor of Lanús and Ritondo.

From radicalism, meanwhile, there is a general rejection of

, but a possible candidate has been insisting for weeks on making a strictly provincial agreement with him.

It is about Martín Tetaz, who believes that Milei can play abroad at the national level but that it would be decisive to add him through his own representative in the Buenos Aires cambiemita stock market: today, the name that circulates as a possible candidate is

, although in some surveys began to measure

as the Buenos Aires bishop of a national candidacy for Milei.

How to get down to Kicillof, the hard challenge

Axel Kicillof, the Buenos Aires governor.

Within Together for Change, even with nuances, there is a coincidence, summarized in the following sentence: "

."

More than a conviction, it seems like a forecast of what can happen as of December 10.

A different scenario than in 2015, when Vidal beat a candidate created at that time because Daniel Scioli had no chance of being re-elected.

Kicillof

, on the other hand, not only can he go for another four years, but at least from what the polls show,

compared to Alberto Fernández or Cristina Kirchner herself.

If the governor remains a differentiated candidate for Vice, it will be difficult to go down, a front-line pollster assures off.

For this reason, above all, Santilli points out in his criticisms the current provincial president.

"We polarized and confronted Axel all the time. We never attacked anyone internally and we were always focused on differentiating ourselves from Kicillof's management," they summarize close to him about the strategy to follow in the coming months.

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