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For the first time Alberto Fernández assumes the fight with La Cámpora, which demands changes from him

2023-02-13T09:11:10.846Z


The Frente de Todos suffers a leadership crisis after passing by Cristina Kirchner. The President does not define his candidacy or discuss his management. March can be key.


An unpredictable

leadership crisis

hits the political scene , which is transversal because it affects the two main coalitions that are the Frente de Todos and Juntos por el Cambio.

And it is also

unprecedented

, at least in the last 40 years.

Because although at the end of 2001 there was an institutional trance with the "que se vayan todos" that seemed to reconfigure the country, the presence of an Eduardo Duhalde with a clear management of Peronism, and of Raúl Alfonsín with an undoubted influence on radicalism , basted a transition with strong political support.

Today the leaders are in retreat and that is why they insist on an end of the cycle.

Cristina Kirchner has announced a step aside by deciding not to be a candidate for anything in 2023. Apart from the fantasy that the vice president can reverse that decision and finally present herself post-operative self-clamor, the reasoning that comes from a sector of her own Kirchnerism is: If in 2019 she was not enough and that is why she "swallowed the frogs" with Sergio Massa and Alberto Fernández, whom she put as a candidate, why would she be enough now

with her alone

, after being vice president of one of the least efficient governments since 1983?

Maximum Kirchner.

The other leadership that at times seems to be fading is that of Mauricio Macri, whose management generated in the society that had adhered to the "change" a frustration only comparable to that perceived by those who had bet in 1999 that the Alliance of Fernando de la Rúa and Carlos "Chacho" Alvarez would be an overcoming stage of Menemism.

The former president does not lack conditions or electoral base to face an internal one with great chances.

The problem lies in the…

and then what?

It is known that an eventual second term of his would not only imply a possible break with Together for Change, but that in a few hours he would unite Kirchnerism and sectors of the left against him in the streets.

For the political consultant Carlos Fara, the country is in an unprecedented situation since the return to democracy because

Argentina has had three presidential terms

– the last of Cristina Kirchner, that of Mauricio Macri and the current one of Alberto Fernández –

that “end with balance negative, with the consequent degree of social frustration

”.

And that means that society is witnessing, perhaps, "the greatest lack of harmony between citizens and politics since 1983."

In the ruling party, the problem is greater because the government's management fails to support any candidate.

Without Cristina's presence, an internal dispute broke out between the President and La Cámpora that

Fernández himself has assumed as such

for the first time .

In the Casa Rosada and in non-K Peronism they understand that the space headed by Máximo Kirchner is at its worst moment because it has no replacement, it continues to depend one hundred percent on Cristina and it does not have a territorial construction that allows it, for example, to win a internal to the Peronist mayors of the Conurbano.

“Alberto realized that he could argue with La Cámpora and stand up for things that do not seem to him.

He got tired a little late ”

, summarizes an Albertista official.

Hence the dispute that the president raised with the political table.

He not only called it late and expanded with governors, mayors, leaders of the CGT and social groups, but he limited it to an area to define the electoral strategy, not management.

President Alberto Fernandez.

The Cámpora wants something else.

The reading they make at the Instituto Patria is that Alberto will finally have to negotiate and discuss policies because the different sectors of the FdT like them, the CGT, the social movements, the mayors and the governors want the most competitive scheme they can put together, without him. .

They believe that what the president intends, in reality, is to

discuss the places

that he will play for his political circle made up of Santiago Cafiero, Victoria Tolosa Paz, Gabriela Cerutti, among others.

Because otherwise, he "stays out" of the lists.

Máximo Kirchner wants to discuss what the model is, what they are going to offer to society, and make the changes that are necessary in the Executive.

“We have to know what we want and where we are going because for now we have a prime minister who is plugging holes.

There are many things to tell”

, they slip into Christianity.

Santiago Cafiero, the president's lieutenant, sent a clear message this Sunday through two sentences.

"I am working for the president to re-elect," he said.

Later, he left no doubt:

"the best candidate of Peronism is Alberto Fernández."


From now on, the group headed by Máximo K. will not do much more, but will wait until

March

.

If by then the President does not agree to discuss the management,

"the photo will be that of Merlo"

, they say, alluding to the meeting attended by Sergio Massa, Máximo Kirchner, Eduardo Wado de Pedro, Axel Kicillof and Martín Insaurralde , among others, but to which Alberto was not invited.

It will mean an official break of those who embrace Cristina Kirchner with albertismo.

The other issue is who will be the Kirchnerist presidential candidate.

In Massa's environment, they are evaluating

two alternatives

.

The first is to open an offer with several PASO candidates as the opposition does.

The second, to define

the complementary opposite

, that is, a formula based on the tandem that goes for Together for Change.

And an FdT strategy associated with the management of the Government, in electoral terms.

In parallel, and as

Pablo de León described it in

Clarín

, there are those who argue that Cristina Kirchner should launch the presidential candidacy of Wado de Pedro, Alberto's main political enemy in the national cabinet.

Close to the president they underline a certain contradiction.

“What is the logic of why Alberto cannot be a candidate?

Because the government is not good, then the president cannot go to the election?

However, they can minister to him.

Obviously the government is not so bad, otherwise the candidates would not be the Chief of Staff (Juan Manzur), the interior minister (Wado de Pedro) or the economy (Massa)

.


Sergio Massa, Minister of Economy.

Photo: Clarin

They are also undaunted by the Christian demand to discuss government policies.

“They spend time pointing out differences but

they never brought alternatives

.

We still don't know what they would have done differently, housing, public works, IFE, ATP, vaccines?

The signal is unambiguous.

For now Alberto Fernández is not going to define whether or not he will go for re-election.

The underlying logic

is that if Alberto steps down from re-election now or in March at the latest, he immediately becomes a former president

.


Although his latest expressions do not help build re-election expectations either.

As when he assured, days ago, that

"only China surpasses us in economic growth"

.

Perhaps what is not there is spillover and benefits and budget items grow only for some, while

for the middle class and workers, mostly black or precarious, there is only a decrease in their purchasing power.

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Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-02-13

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