It was known that, with
Cristina Kirchner
on stage, there was almost no competition.
But a
new electoral poll
sparks other
alerts in the offices of Alberto Fernández, Sergio Massa and Eduardo "Wado" de Pedro
.
The poll measured internal candidates for the presidential election with and without the vice-president, and in this second case, the winner was not any of the three strongest variants that sound in the Frente de Todos.
The study carried out by
Clarín
this Tuesday is from
CIGP
, a small consulting firm that has been publishing conjuncture and electoral surveys for several years.
Its last survey was done between February 6 and 10, with 2,408 cases and +/- 2% margin of error.
In the electoral chapter, he evaluated intention to vote for space and also got into the STEP of the two main coalitions. As for the ruling party, he offered two variants, with and without Cristina. In the first case, he devastated the former president. In the second, perhaps his favorite option prevailed: Axel Kicillof.
numbers per space
The first electoral question gets into the dispute for space and repeats, with its results, the podium that the vast majority of national polls have been showing.
With an open ending,
it is led by Juntos por el Cambio, followed by the Frente de Todos and completed by Javier Milei's libertarians
.
In CIGP numbers, the main opposition alliance scores with 30.86%; then comes the ruling party with 25.63%; and far away are the libertarians with 10.79%.
The latest national CIGP survey.
He measured the electoral scenario for the presidential election.
As an alarm for all the parties, the third place is actually occupied by
"white/null/contested" with 12.65%
.
And almost 10 points of "undecided"
are added
.
All downvotes.
Finally, 5.4% of "other forces" and 5.06% of Federal Peronism remain.
Internal in the Front of All
As explained at the beginning of the note, two STEPs were evaluated in the Front of All.
The first, with Cristina Kirchner,
ratified the preponderant place that the vice president occupies
in her space.
The latest national CIGP survey.
He measured the internship of the Frente de Todos for the presidential election with Cristina.
The former president exceeds 68% among those surveyed who expressed their intention to vote for the Frente de Todos. They follow her very far: Massa with 13.16%, Fernández with 6.58%, Kicillof with 5.92%, others with 5.27% and undecided with 0.66%.
The latest national CIGP survey.
He measured the internship of the Frente de Todos for the presidential election without Cristina.
In the second scenario, without Cristina, the one who best capitalizes on that "loose" vote is Kicillof.
Thus, this hypothesis would be confirmed: that the governor is the best variant for the public K.
The economist adds 33.96%, against 19.81% for Massa, 16.04% for De Pedro, 13.21% for Fernández , 8.49% from Daniel Scioli, 2.83% from others and 5.66% from undecided
.
Intern at Together for Change and the Milei factor
The other dispute that
CIGP
measures is that of
Together for Change
.
There are two central facts.
On the one hand, there is a closed dispute between three pre-candidates.
And on the other hand, when respondents are asked about Milei, there is also a key definition.
In the first case, Mauricio Macri, Patricia Bullrich and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
appear as partners for the presidential inmate
.
The former president and the head of the PRO are in a technical tie (
33.87% and 33.33%
, respectively, among those surveyed who would vote for JxC), and just below comes the head of government (
28.49%
).
The latest national CIGP survey.
He measured the internship of Together for Change for the presidential election.
Others close with 3.77% and undecided with 0.54%.
Then, they ask those same interviewees related to JxC if they think that Milei should participate in that internship. The majority (56.45%) thinks that "yes".
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