In the GBA there are 28 municipalities, divided into three cordons and
two large electoral regions
of more than 8 million souls, whose votes define the provincial result and are key to the presidential election.
The
First Section
includes
the North and a good part of the West
;
and the
Third
includes
La Matanza and the South
.
Almost all of them are governed by the same shield since the return of democracy: the one with the sun with one open eye, laurels, a pike and the Phrygian cap.
Peronism and its aspects, since the truncated cafierista renewal of the '80s, a Menem who never managed to gain a foothold in the suburbs, the power of Duhalde and the Kirchnerist wallet.
This year marks
four decades since the elections that put an end to the dictatorship
.
And perhaps 2023 will be the year in which the most restless GBA bosses are due to
the lack of a leader to order them
and, above all, a candidate for president who at least
retains the Peronist votes
and allows them to retain the power of their municipalities.
"A bad candidate for president can cost us not only the province but
up to a third of the communes we manage.
I hope that this strange table that has just been inaugurated will discuss this. Everything else is cotillion for the fight between Cristina and Alberto" , points out the boss of one of the most populous municipalities that
knew how to beat Cambiemos by more than 45 points
and for several elections now that difference has been fraying at a rate that is beginning to worry.
What presidential candidates are the GBA bosses afraid of?
To anyone who does not guarantee them a traction of votes.
"Or at least, a figure that does not dirty our sheet. We are talking about
the tip of the ballot, which is the candidacy for President.
A bad candidate for governor, you can fight. But the President is almost definitive in many of our municipalities," says another mayor, from Segundo Cordón.
Names?
Nobody is going to think of sketching even an initial in public.
But with today's numbers, the PJ caciques -even the very few and closest to the Casa Rosada- converge in
rejecting the nomination of Alberto Fernández.
Mayors of the First and Third Electoral Section with the CGT.
It was in the last days of 2022.
There is no mayor who before
Clarín
is expectant with Alberto leading the list.
"In the fight with La Cámpora, except for Martín (Insaurralde) and some others, we are all closer to the President. But
this is a matter of numbers, and he measures badly
. There is no way back. Be careful, Wado does not measure much better and, Worst of all, there is still a high level of ignorance in the neighborhoods, where we make a difference", admits a mayor, this time from the farthest west of the Capital.
The chandeliers that have been dressing the table where the League of Mayors meets for six months have candles that are lit
in the name of Sergio Massa
.
But those aspirations that renewed the spirit of many of them are fading hand in hand with
inflation that the Minister of Economy is unable to tame.
Several of them still do not understand what happened to Massa to self-flagellate "with those damn 3-odd
inflation
points that he promised for March."
They state that any number above that commitment, although it does show a downward trend, will be read as a failure.
As in a bagged race, there are half a dozen Peronist municipalities in
Greater Buenos Aires
where a closed definition is announced.
In the same League of Peronist Mayors they point to
Morón, Quilmes, Ituzaingó and San Martín.
Also
Tigre
(where the Deliberative Council is in the hands of the opposition and, behind the scenes, there is apparently a confrontation of no return between the mayor Julio Zamora and Sergio Massa. They also point to Hurlingham, where nobody dares to measure the damage that the unleashed battle
will
cause between Juanchi Zabaleta and La Cámpora, which seems willing for the municipality to remain for the opposition before the former Minister of Social Action achieves re-election.
Alberto Fernández with ministers and mayors from the West, last year, in Hurlingham, one of the districts at risk.
In this line, most of them began to
measure Daniel Scioli.
Things of fate, a candle for Massa and another for his number one enemy.
In general, the mayors agree that "because of those incomprehensible situations in life" (according to the admission of a mayor who knew how to collaborate in the former governor's Cabinet), Scioli
continues to do relatively well
and is one of the few who retains the Peronist vote.
Six months after the PASO and with a lot -too much- running water under the bridge since 2019, for the mayors the numbers of that election that led
Alberto Fernández to the Casa Rosada and Axel Kicillof to the Governor's office cannot even be taken as a reference
.
On that occasion, there were municipalities where old caudillos had
huge differences
, such as Juan José Mussi with a 42-point advantage (66% to 24%) over Juntos por el Cambio in Berazategui, Alejandro Granados with 38 (63 to 25) in Ezeiza or Fernando Espinoza with 40 (64 to 24) in La Matanza.
"Now, let everyone forget about those numbers", they say from a Western mayor. "It is there to fight it in some places and win in others -they warn- but not with those differences that can define the elections in the Province and help in the national ”.
look too
In the midst of the claim K by Cristina Kirchner, Agustín Rossi said that it is "rare" that Alberto Fernández goes to a PASO
look too
The Buenos Aires Peronism of the interior stands up to Albertism: "Nothing without Cristina"
look too
They extended the route of a fast collective to the Capital, which is key because the San Martín train continues with daily cancellations
The restoration of the house where María Elena Walsh was born, which was destroyed and will be opened to the public as a cultural center