The use of nuclear weapons in the Ukraine war would be the worst scenario.
The Kremlin keeps threatening it.
A former Russian spy gives the all-clear.
Moscow – The Kremlin has repeatedly threatened to use nuclear weapons.
Of Vladimir Putin's allies, ex-President Dmitri Medvedev in particular had issued warnings to the West.
Medvedev recently threatened Ukraine with retaliatory strikes and that the Russian leadership was ready to use nuclear weapons.
Russian propaganda also repeatedly called for the use of nuclear weapons.
A former secret service insider is now questioning whether it can even come to that.
This is reported by fr.de.
War in Ukraine: Ex-KGB agent sure Kremlin boss Putin doesn't have nuclear bombs
According to former KGB spy Yuri Shvets, Putin may no longer have nuclear bombs.
According to the picture
, he expressed
skepticism about the nuclear threats.
"As for the escalation, I think it's mostly a bluff," Schwez said in an interview with a Ukrainian TV channel.
"I strongly suspect, with reference to the opinion of professionals, that the Russian Federation may no longer have nuclear weapons."
According to Schwez, nuclear warheads would have to be serviced regularly.
According to Schwez, the plutonium has to be changed every ten years so that the weapons can be used.
The ex-KGB agent suspects that the Russian Federation has no plutonium because the element was last produced in the Soviet Union.
Nuclear weapons in the Ukraine war?
Some experts give the all-clear
Experts partially agree with Schwez' assessment.
"The Russian nuclear arsenal may have become unusable due to improper maintenance of nuclear warheads and launchers," Ukrainian military expert Oleh Zhdanov estimated on his YouTube channel.
However, it is not possible to assess how operational the weapons are and whether they would not pose a threat to Russia itself.
It is also unclear "to what extent Russia guarantees the storage and maintenance of these weapon systems".
The military expert justified his doubts with the corruption in the Russian state apparatus and the army.
On the other hand, ex-oligarch Michael Khodorwski had given the clear all-clear that Putin could launch a nuclear attack – albeit for a different reason than the lack of resources.
Putin is not suicidal and would therefore not use nuclear weapons, Khodorwski said in an interview with
Merkur.de
from
IPPEN.MEDIA
Ukraine war: Concerns about escalation of the conflict are growing
Some experts also disagree with Schwez's view, such as the Berlin think tank Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik.
She writes about the Russian nuclear arsenal: “Today Russia has an active nuclear arsenal of about 4500 nuclear warheads.
About 1,600 of these warheads are deployed on land-based ICBMs, submarine-launched ballistic missiles and heavy bomber bases.” In recent years, Russia has modernized and expanded its nuclear capabilities, according to an analysis.
A Year of the Ukraine War: The Origins of the Conflict with Russia
A Year of the Ukraine War: The Origins of the Conflict with Russia
Irrespective of the use of nuclear weapons, many experts agree that the Ukraine war could escalate.
In his Geopolitical Futures
magazine,
the well-known American geostrategist George Friedman commented on the current situation in Ukraine, which is becoming "more and more dangerous".
"Until relatively recently, Russian attacks on Ukraine have typically been contained by Ukrainian forces," he wrote in his recent analysis in the journal.
However, according to Friedmann, Russia has begun to resist.
According to CNN,
Putin recently
announced a meeting with Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko to discuss military plans, raising concerns about an escalation of the war.
(bohy)
