The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

Putin, one year after the invasion: how much can the war in Ukraine cost him?

2023-02-24T05:32:24.939Z


A year after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, analysts warn that the war could cost Putin his regime. (CNN Spanish) -- When Russian military forces entered Ukraine as part of a large-scale invasion on February 24, 2022, President Vladimir Putin publicly warned those who might be tempted to intervene on behalf of that former Soviet republic. A year later, his decision has sparked the largest joint international military response against a power since World War II. In addition, Putin is forced to


(CNN Spanish) --

When Russian military forces entered Ukraine as part of a large-scale invasion on February 24, 2022, President Vladimir Putin publicly warned those who might be tempted to intervene on behalf of that former Soviet republic.

A year later, his decision has sparked the largest joint international military response against a power since World War II.

In addition, Putin is forced to face his own military mistakes, such as failing to anticipate Ukraine's ability to defend itself.

  • ANALYSIS |

    These are 9 revelations that the Russian war in Ukraine has left after a year

"Russian intelligence failed to determine the capabilities of Ukraine's most probable option because it did not foresee that the mixed war of regular and irregular actions would wage it. And this was due to Putin's autocratic, dictatorial and aggressive way of directing his troops and to lead the war," retired Colombian Army Colonel Luis Alberto Villamarín told CNN en Español.

Just days before the first anniversary of the invasion, Putin said his country was simply defending itself.

He affirmed it in a commemorative act of the 80 years of the Battle of Leningrad against the Nazis in the Second World War.

Nazis that he identifies with the current government of Ukraine.

advertising

Russia's President Vladimir Putin attends a patriotic concert dedicated to the upcoming Defender of the Fatherland Day at the Luzhniki stadium in Moscow on February 22, 2023. (Credit: Maksim BLINOV/SPUTNIK/AFP via Getty Images)

"Now, unfortunately, we see the ideology of Nazism, already in its modern guise, modern manifestation, which again creates a direct threat to the security of our country. We are forced again and again to repel the aggression of the Western collective," He said on February 2.

Did Putin miscalculate the cost of the invasion?

Eight months after the start of the invasion, when Putin realizes that it is not a military parade like the annexation of Crimea in 2014, and that Kyiv resists and counterattacks, then his speech becomes more radical, and he even threatens to use of nuclear weapons in case the war against Ukraine put Russia at risk.

After this threat, some experts wondered about the state of Putin's mental health.

They studied his public appearances, his words, they wondered why he started a war that could endanger his regime.

The state of physical and mental health of Putin, 70, is not known for sure, and as a result of the invasion there has been speculation on the subject.

Marco Bettocchi, a clinical psychologist specializing in body language contacted by CNN, analyzed their gestures, for example when Putin ordered the Russian nuclear deterrent force to be put on alert.

"What he controls the least in his non-verbal communication is breathing. Here the emotion corresponds to a different breath, and in his last video, where he is threatening, where he is saying that there are going to be serious consequences, his communication is like that of a victim, saying : you are forcing me to do what I am doing and there are going to be serious consequences, I will not be responsible for these consequences," he explained.

US President Joe Biden has described Putin as a rational actor but one who miscalculated.

"I think Vladimir Putin is in an incredibly difficult position and what it seems to me is that his only available tool is to brutalize the citizens of Ukraine, trying to intimidate them into surrender, and they are not doing that," he told the regarding October 19, 2022.

  • Timeline of the war in Ukraine

How can the situation evolve for Putin?

But, what bill can the invasion take on Putin if Ukraine continues to resist and Russia does not stop losing conquered territory?

"One of the possibilities is that there is a coup in Russia and the other, that there is a revolution. The situation is going to be very difficult for Mr. Putin, and an unexpected internal political rebellion could occur that generally, given the Russian mentality, , ends with assassinations. But a military rebellion could also occur, which is less likely due to the verticality and internal espionage system," Villamarín explained.

Investigative reporter Ilya Rozhdestvensky told CNN that according to the Dossier Center portal, Putin is increasingly using this armored vehicle instead of taking the presidential plane.

Dossier Center tracks the alleged crimes of senior Kremlin officials.

At that crossroads, international allies are vital, but while China and India are taking advantage of economic sanctions on Russia to buy cheap energy, few world leaders publicly defend Putin.

Apart from the President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko, and some former Soviet republics or the Iranian regime, which provides him with the kamikaze drones, the rest prefer not to align.

Not even Chinese.

Few would risk betting on Russia's defeat in this adventure, but it could turn out to be more than a losing war for the president who has been in power for more than 23 years, either as Russia's prime minister or president.

War in UkraineVladimir Putin

Source: cnnespanol

All news articles on 2023-02-24

You may like

News/Politics 2024-03-06T09:26:27.385Z

Trends 24h

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.