“
What a pity the ugly day.
Many people who will have wanted to come
”.
Mauricio Macri's reflection on March 1, 2016, broadcast live as he arrived in Congress, automatically became a laughing stock for Peronism when he returned to the plain after 12 years.
The then President had been excited by a spontaneous convocation like the one that had filled the Plaza de Mayo on the day of his inauguration.
It is almost a fact that this
image of desolation
could be repeated again this Wednesday, when
Alberto Fernández opens the ordinary sessions
of the Legislative and
meets Cristina Kirchner again
in a public act
after 9 months
.
From Kirchnerism they have already made it clear that
they will not mobilize militants
and that in any case this call will depend on the Casa Rosada.
The Executive, for now, doubts.
The first polls were not positive.
The Evita Movement and the social organizations of the ruling party, which have already been probed, are refusing for now.
Until last year they were the main animators in each of Fernández's acts.
A call from the President to
Emilio Pérsico
- who made public his
discomfort with Minister Victoria Tolosa Paz
- could unlock the situation.
The President's entourage was evaluating communicating with mayors, but so far caution prevails.
The multiplication of presidential candidates - from Daniel Scioli to Juan Grabois - in the ruling party does not favor the promoters of a demonstration.
The Frente de Todos debates the consequences of
exposing Fernández's political solitude
.
A president who is too devalued will also be evidence of an officialism in crisis facing the campaign.
In important offices of La Rosada, for now, they open the umbrella.
"If there is something, it will not be very important, it is a weekday, unlike last year, which fell on carnival," they clarify.
On Thursday, the delegates of the President and the Vice President met for the first time to finalize all the details of the Fernández reunion.
The private secretary of the former president,
Mariano Cabral
, will meet again with the officials of the General Secretariat of the Presidency between Monday and Tuesday.
Cristina's closest collaborators
confirmed the presence
of the former president, despite the
reports that she could hit the foul
, which paradoxically came out of some offices of La Rosada, a detail that they lamented close to Fernández.
Some Executive officials feared that the farewell photo on the steps, which responds more to usage, than to the protocol that obliges the president of the Senate to receive the head of state,
would not materialize
.
From Kirchnerism they relativized those versions.
"It's the same every year.
Everything is very normal," they said.
In any case, there will inexorably be a photo of the Fernández family together.
While his allies
pressure him to decline his re-election plans
and make it official that he will not be a candidate, Fernández is concentrating on his last speech - at least in this term, before an inactive Congress that
refused to debate the projects
that the Executive sent to extraordinary sessions.
According to officials with permanent access to Olivos and the presidential office, Fernández will continue with his strategy of
talking about his management and showing a horizon for the future,
the same tactic he uses to position himself electorally.
He will speak of dialogue and national unity and will compare his numbers in terms of public works, housing and debt with those of the Macri government.
The management of the pandemic will occupy an important chapter: Fernández is convinced that it will be one of his main legacy, as will the legalization of abortion and his role in international forums in which he advocated for peace, such as the G-7.
Also, the
90,000 homes delivered
in this administration versus the
14,000 that Macri awarded
.
It will also seek to highlight
the 3,000 works completed
since 2019. A special section will be occupied by the work of the
Néstor Kirchner
gas pipeline , which could change the country's energy matrix and impact the flow of reserves.
The
renegotiation with the IMF
and private creditors for the debt contracted by the Cambiemos management will also be a prominent axis.
As usual, Fernández draws on the reports from each of the ministries to underline the actions of Cartera in his speech.
The
judicial situation of Cristina Kirchner
- with a suspended sentence of 2 to 6 years in prison from the Federal Oral Court and disqualified from holding public office - will not go unnoticed.
Close to the President they bet that Fernández
will replicate the spirit of the document
that the Frente de Todos table and that it will mention the proscription of which the Vice President claims to be a victim.
It is still unknown if the Supreme Court judges will be present to listen to the criticism of the Executive against the Judiciary while the ruling party insists on the request for impeachment against the highest Court.
In La Rosada they bet on his absence, although they emphasize that ceremonial is in the hands of the Senate.
The evocations of
40 years of democracy
will be inescapable, just like the two decades since Néstor Kirchner took office.
He will also talk about
his government's
outstanding debts :
poverty and inflation
.
On the positive side of the balance, the
drop in child malnutrition
and the increase in registered employment will stand out.
As he did from Antarctica and on the national channel, Fernández will once again speak of the "future".
“
Argentina travels towards a future of freedom
”, He said on Wednesday.
In the President's inner circle they are indeed convinced that
virtuous years are coming for the country.
This illusion is sustained by the increase in the production and export of critical minerals such as copper and lithium and the increase in exports of hydrocarbons such as gas, oil and hydrogen;
in addition to services.
In this scenario, close to Fernández they even minimize the debt maturities to come.
In private, Fernández demands unity from Peronism so as not to let JxC take advantage of that future.
In the Executive they imagine a hostile audience facing the electoral campaign.
"They are going to fight to see who is the most opposed," reflected a collaborator of the President, perhaps without noticing that one of his harshest critics will be sitting to the left of Fernández.
look also
"The President has no chance of being re-elected," said the senator who formed the new Peronist bloc
look also
The official internal heats up: Santiago Cafiero crossed Máximo Kirchner and Juan Grabois and said that "any disqualifying a comrade is functional to the right"