Calculators have never heated up so much.
In the ministries, on the benches of the Palais Bourbon, in the cafes adjoining the National Assembly: for a few days, everyone has been doing the accounts.
In the event of a vote on the pension reform on Thursday, will the presidential camp have enough deputies to obtain an absolute majority, which is currently 287 votes?
Will the Prime Minister risk her text “toss or tails”, with the risk of being disavowed except for a few votes?
Or will the executive be forced to resort to Article 49.3 of the Constitution to pass this reform without a vote?
Everyone goes with their prognosis but only the truth of the ballot will prevail.
The risk is great for the government, which is not certain of being able to count on all its troops or on all its allies to get its reform passed.
Just a few days before the ballot – if there is one – here is how the votes could be distributed in the different…
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