After the ordeal of the Covid, does the war in Ukraine expose Russia to a
"demographic tragedy"
, as the British magazine
The Economist
recently wrote ?
If it is too early to affirm it with certainty, the “special military operation” decided in February 2022 by Vladimir Putin could weigh down more, perhaps even heavily, an already very depressed Russian demography.
Apart from a jump in the mid-2010s, the birth rate curves have continued to plunge for three decades.
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In April 2022, shortly after the start of the war, the level of births had never been so low in Russia… since the beginning of the 18th century, as indicated by Alexeï Raksha, an independent demographer (after having worked for a long time at Rostat, Russian INSEE).
This specialist, who is authoritative, recalls that the fertility rate has been collapsing in Russia since the end of the 1980s
.
“The number of women of childbearing age will have decreased by 40% between 2010 and 2030
,” he points out.
Russia…
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