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Alert in the Government: a new survey shows Juntos vote to vote with the ruling party in the Province

2023-03-20T13:50:49.132Z


It is a study of the consultancy CB. Measured STEP scenarios of the 2023 elections for president and governor.


It is known, by political logic but above all mathematics, the importance of the

province of Buenos Aires

in a national election.

With close to

38% of the votes in the entire country

, the result in that district has a decisive impact on the presidential election.

For this reason, a

new survey

that measured there thinking about this year's elections ignites another

strong alert for the Frente de Todos

.

According to the study carried out by

Clarín

this Monday,

the fight with Juntos por el Cambio in Buenos Aires territory is vote by vote

.

With an extra risk: can Peronism lose the governorship again?

The survey that brings these news is from

CB Consultora Opinión Pública

, one of the firms that has grown the most in recent years and that today has as clients, among others, the governments of Córdoba (of the Peronist no K Juan Schiaretti) and Ciudad from Buenos Aires (by Horacio Rodríguez Larreta).

Clarín

anticipated this Sunday two polls in provinces with a lot of weight and an anti-K profile, such as Córdoba and Mendoza, which also showed a

relegated ruling party

, in fourth and third place respectively for a presidential STEP.

In

Buenos Aires

, the firm led by analyst

Cristian Buttié

interviewed

1,118 people online

, between March 6 and 10, and presented the results with +/- 2.8% margin of error.

It evaluated three hypotheses of primaries (scheduled for August 13).

He measured the presidential inmates, with Cristina Kirchner and Mauricio Macri on the grid, and without them;

and also, pondered the intention to vote for governor.

In all three cases, it was a very close, open-ended fight.

Even in a case with Together for Change above.


Presidential STEP in the Province: Cristina's impact

In the first box for the presidential election, the two ex-presidents are offered as candidates, and there the

impact of the figure of Cristina

is clear .

The vice is not only

the most voted on an individual level

, but also helps the Frente de Todos stay even a few tenths above Juntos por el Cambio in the sum per space.

In this table,

the ruling party totals 34%

, thanks to

19.4% from the former president

 and 6.2% from Sergio Massa, 4.6% from Alberto Fernández, 1.8% from Daniel Scioli, 1.1% of Wado de Pedro, 0.7% of Juan Grabois and 0.2% of Juan Manzur.

Together for Change reaches 33.7%

, with

greater dispersion

:

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta leads with 12.4%

, followed by Patricia Bullrich (7.3%), Mauricio Macri (6.1%), María Eugenia Vidal (3% ), Facundo Manes (2.1%), Gerardo Morales (2%) and Elisa Carrió (0.8%).

Javier Milei finishes third

, with an interesting

15.8%

, and is completed by Myriam Bregman (from the Left Front, 1.6%), Schiaretti (0.6%), blank (5.3%) and I don't know (9, 1%).

Without Cristina (or Macri) on the ballot, the opposition comes to the fore: 33.5% to 29.1%.

They are distributed like this:

-

Together for Change (33.5%)

: Larreta 14.2%, Bullrich 10.4%, Vidal 3.6%, Morales 2.3%, Manes 2.2% and Carrió 0.8%.

-

Front of All (29.1%)

: Massa 11.2%, Fernández 7.1%, De Pedro 5.3%, Scioli 4.3%, Grabois 1% and Manzur 0.2%.


-

The rest

: Milei 16.3%, Bregman 2.2%, Schiaretti 0.6%, blank 7.1% and I don't know 11.4%.

STEP for governor in Province: Kicillof against everyone, very even

The

fight for the governorship in the province of Buenos Aires is today one of the most difficult to measure

.

First, because by going close to the national one, the drag of the presidential one is impossible to ponder.

But also, the offer outside the crack is not clear.

CB

, for example, measured three possible libertarian candidates: José Luis Espert, Fernando Burlando and the generic "a candidate from Milei".

With that asterisk ahead, the parity between Together for Change and the Frente de Todos is striking, in the district that explained the broad victory K in 2019. In the hypothesis of this survey, two trends are also confirmed: Axel

Kicillof continues to lead individually and Diego Santilli prevails in his team

.

With these numbers:

- Axel Kicillof 32.7%.

-

Diego Santilli 21%

, Cristian Ritondo 3.1%, Martín Tetaz 3%, Joaquín de la Torre 2.7% and Néstor Grindetti 1.5%.

Total Together for Change 31.3%

.

- Fernando Burlando 9.8%.

- A candidate of Milei 6.6%.

- José Luis Espert 6.1%.

- Blank 4.2%.

- I don't know 9.2%.

look also

Two surveys measured the most anti-K provinces: in one Milei won and in the other the Frente de Todos came fourth

Three new polls heat up the Buenos Aires fight in the 2023 elections: many doubts about the successor to Horacio Rodríguez Larreta

Source: clarin

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