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"The Russian army is doing badly, but...": military expert Gressel explains Putin's hope

2023-03-22T09:11:24.935Z


According to a military expert, Ukraine still has good chances in the war. Unfortunately, they have "wasted a year in pointless debates".


According to a military expert, Ukraine still has good chances in the war.

Unfortunately, they have "wasted a year in pointless debates".

Kiev/Moscow - Military expert Gustav Gressel believes Ukraine is powerful enough to launch a counteroffensive against Russia.

"Yes, but Kyiv is also carefully considering when and where to strike in order to make the greatest possible impact with the resources available.

Forces for a counter-offensive are currently being trained, and this strategic reserve has not yet had to be used in the defense of Bakhmut and Avdiivka.

So they are still intact," Gressel replied to a request from

Merkur.de

.

However, he does not see Russia as having reached the end.

The Kremlin army still has enough reserves and the front is also densely manned by mobilization.

“Putin is pushing the Russian army for more attacks, so it will continue to wear out.

It will use up reserves to continue to fuel attacks," said Gressel.

For this purpose, it will thin out front sections that are not heavily used.

This creates gaps and weaknesses.

+

Gustav Gressel is a political scientist.

The former Austrian soldier is a specialist in security policy.

© ECFR

Military expert Gressel on Ukraine's chances: "It'll be fine"

“The lack of reserves will limit the ability to respond to breakthroughs.

The Ukrainian leadership must consider how to get the maximum number of liberated areas with the minimum of material and human resources.

This is not easy and requires patience.

It'll be fine," is the military expert's assessment.

He describes Ukraine as “tired and at the same time determined”.

That's the only way.

“The biggest concern is arms shipments from the West.

It took us a year to realize that this is a long war that will not end in quick negotiations.

We wasted a year in pointless debates without creating the armaments conditions to support Ukraine (and rearm ourselves)," says Gressel.

Pictures of the Ukraine war: great horror and small moments of happiness

Pictures of the Ukraine war: great horror and small moments of happiness

Gressel: "The Russian army is bad, but not bad enough"

“The Russian army is bad, but not bad enough.

The lack of officers, specialists and command structures weighs more heavily than the lack of infantry fighting vehicles, anti-tank guided missiles and artillery ammunition in general,” he adds.

New forces can only be sent to the front gradually.

However, Russia produces more armored combat vehicles than western Ukraine can supply.

However, the Kremlin needs support.

"One hopes for more ammunition from North Korea and Iran, for sub-components and primary products from China in order to maintain arms production.

Vladimir Putin still has a chance of winning.

After two or three years of war, the West would get tired and Ukraine would run out of resources," explains the expert.

(mse)

Rubric list picture: © Montage: Imago/Itar-Tass/ECFR/fn

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2023-03-22

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