The
survey
, carried out in February, includes 4,000 cases and was carried out by one of the most prestigious consultants in the world of politics.
It is about
Aresco
, the firm founded by the analyst
Julio Aurelio
-now deceased- and today is run by his son
De él Federico
.
The report, according to the sources confided to
Clarín
, reached the team of
Cristian Ritondo
, candidate for Buenos Aires governor of Juntos por el Cambio.
But his numbers were used, curiously, by
María Eugenia Vidal
, his political reference at the national level.
According to the path that this newspaper was able to reconstruct,
Vidal took this poll to his last meeting with Mauricio Macri to let him know that he was not getting out of the presidential race
.
It was based, precisely, on the voting intention that
Aresco
gave her at the national level and that placed her
not so far from the other two PRO candidates who still surpass her: Patricia Bullrich and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta.
The reaction of the founder of the space did not come out when he saw that his name was not included in the 2023 presidential bid. As
Clarín
reported ,
Macri keeps open the possibility of a national application
, despite the fact that some sources in his environment and especially his rivals internal believe that it will not go for a second time.
The poll numbers
And what does the survey say?
From the presidential bid, it shows two paintings.
The first is a classic
PASO scenario
, with four candidates from Together for Change, three from the Frente de Todos, plus Javier Milei.
In the JxC internal, always according to Aresco
's numbers ,
Bullrich
leads with 14%, followed by Larreta with 10.3%, Vidal with 7% and the radical Gerardo Morales with 5.6%.
Among all of them they add up to 36.9%, but with considerable dispersion.
This differs from other polls, which suggest a more even fight between Bullrich and Larreta, with Vidal, Morales and others more postponed.
But with this panorama of
Aresco
, the former governor told Macri that being only three points behind the head of the Buenos Aires government, he would not get off.
What's more: she warned him that his plan is to deepen the three or four-day visits that he faces in each province to try to (finish) settle.
Macri, as he usually does with all the leaders who come to tell him about their national plans, would have reacted
with his classic tips
: "He supported her to keep trying and he did not clearly convey what he will do," said a source familiar with the conversation. .
The Aresco national survey that Vidal showed Macri.
She appears three points from Larreta.
It is not, in any case, one more blessing: after being Larreta's most faithful ally for years,
Vidal restored her bond with Macri
and it was the former president who encouraged her to get into the presidential fight between the head of government and Bullrich.
Contrary to what happened with Larreta
: the former governor was slow to accept the candidacy for deputy of the City that the Buenos Aires chief requested in 2021 to cover up Bullrich and then quickly got out of the local fight for the Buenos Aires succession, where he wanted her a sector of larretism.
"She wants to stop looking like Horacio's employee
," starkly summed up a leader who works daily with Vidal.
That will not, of course, prevent the head of government from attending the wedding of the former governor, this weekend, with the journalist Enrique Sacco.
It will be in a ranch in Areco.
Macri is also invited.
Returning to the Aresco
survey
-which also measures Larreta and the national government, among other clients-, the Frente de Todos has 33%, with a strong dispersion:
Wado de Pedro leads with 13.1%, followed by Sergio Massa with 11.6% and Alberto Fernández with 8.3%
.
Of this batch, De Pedro's numbers call attention: the camporista minister is usually more delayed in other measurements.
Milei, meanwhile, remains with 20.6%
.
That is to say, it is the most voted although the libertarians, as a space, are third.
"Other candidates" close with 3.5% and "white/don't know" 6%.
Three balloting scenarios
Aresco's studio has another painting that Vidal also defended before Macri.
It is one that measures Sergio Massa, in a ballot, against Larreta, Bullrich and herself.
The three opponents of the PRO appear defeating the Minister of Economy.
And, again, without great differences.
With these numbers:
The ballots that the Aresco and Vidal poll measured showed Macri.
- Larreta 44% vs. Massa 38% (rest white or do not know).
-Bullrich 32% vs. Massa 36%.
- Vidal 42% vs. Massa 38%.
look too
A new survey measured who gets votes from Javier Milei in the Province: surprising data
What the latest survey of the most anti-K consultant says (and one of Patricia Bullrich's favorites)
