On one point at least, all the actors of the majority agree: a dissolution would be a suicide.
In the partial Ariège, Sunday, the Renaissance candidate halved her score compared to June.
Certainly the local context is particular, dominated by a war on the left, but the fall is no less severe.
The same day, in the
, an Ifop poll predicted that in the event of legislative elections, the majority would lose five points, at 22%, while the RN would gain seven, at 26% and that Nupes would be stable, at 25%.
According to some projections, this would give between 140 and 170 for Renaissance, the MoDem and Horizons all together, the Lepenist group becoming the most numerous in the Assembly.
Very theoretical figures, a vote never being decided "cold".
But many fear that a sanction vote will be amplified at the decisive moment.
In short, the leaders of Macronie know that it is with the current Assembly that we must try to organize the rest.
Better a majority...
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