Two tendencies were confirmed and one entered into discussion.
A
new electoral survey
in the
province of Buenos Aires
ratified the
strength of Axel Kicillof
as the candidate of the Frente de Todos and the
advantage of Diego Santilli
in the Juntos por el Cambio internship, but opened up a mystery in the
fight for space
, with a
striking parity
at the poles of the crack.
The poll that this Buenos Aires photo brings is from
Circuitos
, a small consulting firm that has been measuring politics for years.
Her studies tend to circulate in pro-government and left-wing circles.
The firm is run by analyst
Pablo Romá
.
Between March 21 and 23, the pollster surveyed
1,186 telephone cases
and presented the results with +/- 3.5% margin of error.
In the 16-page report, before entering the electoral field, she evaluated other
current data
such as these:
- "Regarding the current situation in the country, 66.8% of those interviewed describe it as negative while 14.4% do so positively."
- "Thinking about their future, 32.4% consider that their current state of mind is pessimistic, 30.3% is uncertain and 17.6% is optimistic".
- "In the strictly economic aspect, 56.4% believe that their economic situation may worsen in the coming months, while 15.1% believe that it will improve."
PASO scenario and intern at Together for Change
Regarding the
electoral dispute in the Province for the governorship
, the survey brings
two measurements : on the one hand, it evaluates the
primary
scenario
, with two candidates from the Frente de Todos, three from Juntos por el Cambio, plus one from the FIT and the lawyer Fernando Burlando on the right.
And, on the other, it measures an
internal one in the main opposition coalition
, with six variants, including the neuroscientist Facundo Manes.
Regarding the PASO, as anticipated at the start of the note,
Kicillof confirmed that he is currently the highest grossing candidate in the polls
.
In this case, he reached
27.5%
.
But since his fellow inmate
De él Martín Insaurralde
barely got
2.3%
, the
Frente de Todos was below 30%
.
On the opposite side,
Santilli also ratified his internal leadership
.
He got
18.2%
.
But here the sparring partners of the deputy contributed a little more:
Cristian Ritondo
with
7.3%
and
Joaquín de la Torre with 4.4%
.
And the surprise appears in the sum.
Together for Change ended with 29.9%, one tenth higher than the Frente de Todos.
Full parity.
Then,
Circuitos
gets back into the JxC bid, but in this case it expands the offer to measure candidacies.
And it includes Manes, the radical who surprised by making an excellent internship against Santilli in 2021 (defeat 60% to 40%), but who decided to fight for the presidential election.
The consultant still put him in the lot for the governorship and Manes finished second. The list was headed again by Santilli and of the rest, the best was the former Security Minister Ritondo.
This Tuesday there will be a
provincial table meeting of the PRO, in which the recently elected Mauricio Macri will participate
, to try to speed up the purification of candidacies.
Santilli arrives with the endorsement of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, Ritondo with that of María Eugenia Vidal, while Iguacel, De la Torre and Grindetti allied with Patricia Bullrich.
It is presumed that of the five there should be one or at most two applicants.
look also
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What does the survey that María Eugenia Vidal took to Mauricio Macri say to let him know that he is not getting off?