Foreseeable: hours after Mauricio Macri's decision not to compete in this batch of
2023 elections
became known , two consultants that work together have already gone out to measure the impact of his landslide, particularly in the internal Juntos por el Cambio.
The
new survey
, carried out by
Clarín
this Wednesday, brings
key data for Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Patricia Bullrich
, the two most competitive candidates in the space.
The firms that published the study are
D'Alessio IROL-Berensztein
.
The first, with several decades of experience and more linked to the world of business and consumption, with
Eduardo D'Alessio
as a reference.
The second, from the well-known analyst
Sergio Berensztein
, one of the pollsters close to Bullrich.
María Eugenia Vidal, Enrique Sacco and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta with their girlfriend Milagros Maylin, at the former governor's wedding.
For five years, the duo has been publishing an
extensive ranking of leaders
.
He evaluates his images monthly, with a table that includes between 30 and 40 figures from politics and trade unionism.
But they also tend to make and disseminate more specific studies like this one.
This latest report, entitled
"Mauricio Macri, withdrawal of the presidential candidacy"
, was made from a national study of
500 online cases
.
This methodological fact is not minor: it is presumed that it is the one that reaches the most informed or avid public, and for this reason (in theory) it would favor more radical positions such as those of Cristina Kirchner, Javier Milei or the aforementioned Bullrich.
Having made the clarifications, the
main data
:
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
The first, and forceful, is that the majority agreed with Macri's decision to step aside, in a number that clearly exceeds the followers of Together for Change: 67% of the total. 27% found it "indifferent" and only 4% said it was "wrong". Completed 2% of "don't know/no answer".
When the data was discriminated by political affinity, among the JxC voters, 86% agreed.
That is to say,
even the pure followers of Macri endorsed the idea
that he run.
Who benefits?
With the majority agreeing with the departure of the PRO founder from the grid, interesting questions followed regarding the impact of the news.
The first:
"Who do you think it mainly benefits?"
, raises the probe, and offers variants by space.
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
63% answered that "to Together for Change", but 15% already said that "to Javier Milei"
.
Macri himself, in the interviews he gave after the announcement, spoke of this last possibility and assured that he hoped it would not happen.
Even the phrase in the video when he spoke of "messianic leaders" seemed to take aim at the libertarian economist.
Regarding the question of the consultants, they complete: "To nobody" 6%, "In Front of Everyone" 5% and "No answer" 11%.
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
Then the impact for space is still being evaluated, but already within the
internship of Together for Change
.
And
71% answer that the decision favors "the PRO"
, against 16% who opt for "radicalism" and the rest "do not respond".
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
The third approach is perhaps the most interesting. "Who do you think benefits the most within the PRO?". It refers to the presidential candidates. And Bullrich is left with half of the answers, against 30% of Larreta, 6% of María Eugenia Vidal and 14% who prefer not to answer.
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
Then he asks the same question but
"within radicalism"
and the most elected is
Gerardo Morales
, with
45%
;
followed by Facundo Manes, with 16%;
none 9% and prefer not to answer 30%.
The latest D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein poll, which measured the impact of Macri's run from the election.
The last curious question is
what role the respondents would like Macri to have
from the next administration:
"none"
wins (and comfortably) with
57%
.
Among the positives, the most chosen were "advisor to the president" (26%) and "some ministry/chancellor" (20%).
look also
Surprise: they did a new electoral survey in the Province and there was a tie for the governorship
What did the latest polls say about Mauricio Macri: could he win the 2023 elections?
