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A new survey measured the Province for president: with or without Cristina, the Frente de Todos did poorly


It is a study of the consulting firm Circuitos. He measured PASO and internal scenarios in the ruling party.

With her it is not enough, but without her, can it be a catastrophe?


new electoral poll

feeds the debate on the role that

Cristina Kirchner

should have in the next 

presidential election

, a discussion that has deepened in the ruling party since Mauricio Macri announced that he was stepping aside.

The survey was carried out in

the province of Buenos Aires

and the

results for the Frente de Todos, with and without the vice president, were dismal


The study is from


, a small consulting firm that has been measuring politics for years.

His studies usually circulate in pro-government and left-wing circles.

The firm is run by analyst

Pablo Romá


Between March 21 and 23, it surveyed

1,186 telephone cases

in Buenos Aires, and presented the results with +/- 3.5% margin of error.


advanced part of the work on Tuesday, with the numbers for the fight for the governorship;

there an alert was already being lit for the Government, due to a striking tie in the base district of the FDT.

But tougher are the numbers that work raises for the presidential election.

In 2019, the advantage by more than 15 points that the Fernández obtained there was key to the national victory.

Now they appear below.

And by a lot.

Although it is worth countering that in other polls the bid is much more even and, in general, with the ruling party at the top.

STEP scenarios with and without Cristina

The first two tables raised by the survey measure

for the presidential primaries

on August 13.

And the ruling party is evaluated with and without the vice.

In the opposition, they still praise


who, by the way,

was not doing well either



hypothesis that includes Cristina

ends with the former president as the most voted.

But that


, added to a meager



Sergio Massa

, leaves the

Front of All

with only


in Province.

Juntos por el Cambio offers three variants and gets almost 20 points from it


It remains with


, thanks to



Patricia Bullrich




Horacio Rodríguez Larreta






Further away are

Javier Milei




Gabriel Solano

(of the Left Front, 



 Guillermo Moreno



) and none (14.7%).

The second hypothesis of a presidential STEP in the Province is without the vice president and there the figure is already catastrophic for the FDT.


gives 10.4% to Massa and 6.3% to Fernández.

Overall: 16.7%.

It is almost 30 points behind JXC, which combines 21.5% from Bullrich, 14.8% from Larreta and 9.6% from Macri.

Fictitious scenario because it is already known that the former president will not appear.

But the same bombshell for the Rosada. 

In this case, Milei









and none (18.3%)

close below .

Interns at the FDT with and without Cristina

The other statement that confirms the weight of the former president in the ruling party measures

internally within the Frente de Todos


Always with the same logic: for the presidential election and within the province of Buenos Aires. 

When the vice-president appears in the list of options, she leads with 43.8%

, followed by Massa (16.1%), Kicillof (7.2%), Fernández (6.4%), De Pedro (5.8%) ), Scioli (5.7%), Manzur (1.1%), other (2.3%) and does not know (11.6%).

When the offer excludes it, the official vote is dispersed a little more: 

1) Sergio Massa 24.6%.

2) Axel Kicillof 17.5%.

3) Alberto Fernandez 10.3%.

4) Daniel Scioli 9.6%.

5) Wado de Pedro 8.2%.

6) Juan Manzur 1.2%.

- Another 6.9%.

- Don't know 21.7%.

look too

The first survey that measured the impact of the Mauricio Macri landslide came out: striking results

Surprise: they did a new electoral survey in the Province and there was a tie for the governorship

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-03-30

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