For now, the tide is not turning.
And it's even a storm that could well be looming.
This is what the latest edition of our Odoxa Backbone consulting survey carried out for Le Figaro
suggests
, revealing that not only does support for the mobilization against the pension reform remain high (66%), but that the movement is expected to last, even become radicalized.
In detail, it is unsurprisingly left-wing sympathizers who remain the most mobilized behind the demonstrators, with support on the rise on the side of the Insoumis (96%, +5 points), a clear increase for environmentalists (+14), and even more among the socialists (+20).
Even supporters of the presidential majority are slowly dissociating themselves from their leader (17%, +8), and only the right-wing electorate shows reservations (30%, -4 at LR; 78%, +1 at RN) .
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Despite the decline in mobilization recorded during its tenth edition, on March 28, six out of ten French people (59%) also think that the movement will continue, and perhaps even become more and more violent.
"
It is on the left and at the RN that we most anticipate a continuation and radicalization of the movement, while at Renaissance and at LR, we want to believe on the contrary that the demonstrations and the violence will soon belong to the past",
underlines the general manager of Odoxa, Céline Bracq.
"
Similarly, the youngest, even more angry since the use of
49-3
, are more convinced that the mobilization will continue and degenerate
", she continues.
Laurent Berger's popularity on the rise
In this context, the French expect a gesture from the president.
That of change, in particular of its Prime Minister, even of the entire Parliament.
A reshuffle without a change of head of government is thus not very popular (22%), while a replacement of Elisabeth Borne is more encouraged (61%).
Even more radically, a dissolution of the National Assembly appears to be a good idea for 58% of respondents.
In particular those most opposed to the reform being on the side of La France insoumise (76%) and the National Rally (72%).
Either the two parties have been competing for weeks to occupy the role of first opponent to Emmanuel Macron, and thus take advantage of the impasse in which the executive finds itself.
The proposal for “
mediation
”, formulated by the boss of the CFDT Laurent Berger and presented as a “
way out
” – but refused for the time being by the executive – also meets with a favorable opinion.
The fact of "
pausing
" the reform for the time of a dialogue is approved by 78% of the French, including within the Republicans (68%), and Renaissance to a lesser extent (42%).
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Laurent Berger also stands out as one of the winners of this showdown, reaching 58% favorable opinions, an increase of twenty points.
The leader of the CGT, Philippe Martinez, is also more attractive (49%, +9).
An asset that few political figures in power can boast of at the moment.
Emmanuel Macron thus loses ten points (23%), when his Prime Minister loses four (25%).
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