Marine Le Pen elected President of the Republic?
According to a shock Ifop-Fiducial poll for
Le Figaro Magazine
published this Wednesday, April 5
,
the hypothesis is intended to be more and more significant, while the leader of the RN group in the National Assembly would be leading the first round if the voters were to replay the 2022 ballot today.
But for the essayist Patrick Buisson, the chances of seeing the Le Pen girl at the Élysée are almost nil, or even nil at all.
Questioned by our colleagues from Le
Point
on the occasion of the release of his book
Décadanse
(Albin Michel editions) on April 13, the former adviser to Nicolas Sarkozy between 2007 and 2012 believes that "
Marine Le Pen cannot win
", because now confronted with a dam "
tighter than the republican front: (that) of the pensioners
".
Read alsoJordan Bardella: “At LR, there are those who think like Macron and those who think like Le Pen”
The latter has 17 million voters, “
33% of registered voters but 45% of voters in the second round of the presidential election, three out of four of whom rejected the former president of the RN
”, he indicates.
And to add: “
Our pay-as-you-go pension system is a machine for turning progressives into conservatives.
The boomers who positioned themselves for 42% on the left in 2002 are only 28% to do so in 2022. In the meantime, they have become retirees.
»
"Reinforced concrete ceiling"
While "
Marine Le Pen is the last to brandish the archaeo-Marxist fetish of the class struggle - while even Mélenchon has rallied to intersectional struggles
", according to the political scientist, the "
name Le Pen
" evokes among retirees a “
imaginary of general conflagration, with the explosion of the suburbs, of economic chaos, and, now, of social war with its “class against class” strategy
”.
Thus, for Patrick Buisson, the “
ceiling (of Le Pen) is no longer glass, but reinforced concrete.
»
Read alsoGérald Darmanin's activism does not worry the RN
The RN would also have benefited little from the last legislative elections, he argues, since they were proof that "
Le Pen no longer had the monopoly of the opposition
" and "
antimacronism
", due to the breakthrough of the Nupes.
Faced with the left alliance, where a "
Zadist drift
" reigns according to Patrick Buisson, Marine Le Pen "
is betting on respectability
".
However, "
anti-parliamentarianism will not sort out
", he analyzes.
And to sting: “
The RN will never come to power as long as Marine Le Pen is the candidate.
It may not be the same the day he finds himself a new champion.
»
