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Alert in the Government for a new survey: Javier Milei ties against five pro-government candidates in PASO

2023-04-07T14:34:22.922Z


It is a study by the consultancy Opinaia. He measured for the 2023 elections.


If

Javier Milei

was for a long time the main bet of the Frente de Todos to get votes from Together for Change and guarantee that an official candidate reaches the ballot, the shot may be backfiring.

A

new survey

that

Clarín

accessed this Friday confirms another piece of information that is beginning to spread by word of mouth among different analysts: the growth of the libertarian economist, rather than undermining support for the main opposition coalition, would put the presence of a representative at risk of the Government in the grand finale.

With a symptomatic addition of the current weakness of the FdT: the measurement confronts Milei, alone, against five candidates for the ruling party.

And the contest ends in a draw.

Red alert for Cristina and company.

The poll that brings these news is from

Opinaia

, a firm specializing in online measurements, which has the City Government among its clients.

Between March 14 and 23, it surveyed

2,000 cases

, with a +/- 2.2% margin of error.

At the start of the report, they present a

summary of results

:

- "After the various episodes of violence that occurred in Rosario,

concern about insecurity increased sharply

, remaining in second place in the ranking. For its part, inflation continues to lead concerns: almost 70% consider that the increase in prices It's the country's main problem."

- "The

evaluation of the national government

reaches its

most critical level in the historical series

: 70% of those consulted negatively evaluate the management, reaping very meager percentages not only among opposition voters but also among voters of the Frente de All".

- "Again,

Javier Milei is the

best positioned

leader

, in terms of

knowledge and popularity

. María Eugenia Vidal and Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Patricia Bullrich, within Cambiemos, are the figures with the best image. Within the ruling party, Sergio Massa is the better positioned, although it accumulates three consecutive months of decline in its valuation".

Floor and ceiling of spaces

An interesting electoral measurement that Opinaia

has been doing

is evaluating

the electoral floor and ceiling of the three main forces

: the two from the crack plus the libertarians.

And the latter are the ones that end up with the best balance.

An alarm that should also sound in Together for Change.

In the poll numbers,

Libertarians

have an

electoral floor of 20%

("sure vote") and a

ceiling of 56%

(a 36% "likely vote" is added), with one

rejection

("I would never vote for him" )

of 43%

.

Next is

Juntos por el Cambio

(

18% floor

,

52% ceiling

-with 34% "probable vote"- and

49% rejection

).

And the

Frente de Todos

closes , with

14% "sure vote"

, 21% "probable vote" (

35% ceiling

) and

65% rejection

/ "I would never vote for him."


The numbers for the STEP

The most interesting picture is when the STEP scenario

is evaluated

.

Of the

five weighted forces

(the three mentioned, plus non-K Peronism and the Left Front),

Milei is the only one who goes alone

as an offer for his space.

But

that is enough for him to finish second, tied against five of the official members together

.

In previous measurements, the libertarians had also managed to tie against the Frente de Todos, but in addition to Milei, José Luis Espert was measured.

Not now.

Put in numbers, the 20 points that the libertarian representative gets are matched against the 20 that are shared between Axel Kicillof (6%), Sergio Massa (6%), Alberto Fernández (4%), Daniel Scioli (3%) and Wado of Peter (1%).

Both spaces are below the sum of

29 points from Together for Change :

Patricia Bullrich

leads there  (12%)

, followed by a

striking parity

between

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta

and

María Eugenia Vidal

(

6% each

), plus

2%

from

Gerardo Morales

,

2%

from

Elisa Carrió

and

1%

from

Miguel Angel Pichetto

Away are

4 points

from

PJ no K

(3% from Juan Schiaretti and 1% from Juan Manuel Urtubey) and

3 points

from the

Left Front

(2% from Nicolás del Caño and 1% from Myriam Bregman).

Plus

5%

"

blank/null"

and

19%

" undecided

"

.

look also

Buenos Aires election: the survey commissioned by Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Mauricio Macri may not like him very much

A new survey measured for the presidential PASO: very good news for a candidate and two female candidates

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-04-07

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