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Alert for the latest survey that reached Cristina Kirchner: Javier Milei wins among men and youth

2023-04-11T12:53:15.821Z


It is from Analogías, the head consultant of the Instituto Patria. Key data for the 2023 elections.


If the margin of error (+/- 2%) is taken into account, one could speak of a

three-way tie

.

Quadruple, if the undecided are included.

This central novelty brings the

latest survey that came to Cristina Kirchner

in the face of the

2023 elections 

and that

Clarín

advances this Tuesday.

The parity, of course, is between the

three main forces

that are preparing to dispute the presidential elections: the

Frente de Todos

,

Together for Change

and the

Libertarians of Javier Milei

.

The study is from

Analogías

, the head pollster of the Instituto Patria.

Between March 28 and 31, the consultancy made 2,658 telephone interviews throughout the country.

The data on Milei's growth had already been reported by this newspaper over the weekend, with another poll also close to the ruling party, from the

Analytical Intelligence

firm , and which raised a bid of three.

open and uncertain

"Which space do you think you are going to support in this year's presidential elections?"

, asks

Analogías

in the electoral chapter of the study.

The Frente de Todos "of Alberto and Cristina" appears ahead with 25.2%, followed by Juntos por el Cambio "of Macri, Bullrich and Larreta" with 24.5% and by "the right of Javier Milei" with 20, 7%.

The undecided ("don't know") sneak into the middle, with 21.1%.

And they complete "blank" 5% and Left Front 3.5%.

When looking at the breakdown by groups (gender, age and educational level), the growth of the deputy from La Libertad Avanza is corroborated by some key data: Milei is the most voted

among men (27.5%) and 16-year-olds to 29 years (34.3%)

.

High alert for the crack.

The

ruling party

achieves its best numbers among women (27.2%), those

over 60 (28.8%)

and those who have only

completed primary education (28.7%)

.

Together for Change

, meanwhile, reached its peak among those

over 60 (32.7%)

.

Participation and voting decision

Before getting into the raw electoral data, the survey asks about

expectations

.

With these conclusions:

"We asked those surveyed if they maintain

hope that the situation in Argentina will improve after

this year's elections. 31% responded that they have 'A lot or enough' hope; 33% 'little' hope and almost 28%, 'none'".

"The response profile is relatively homogeneous from the sociodemographic point of view, although it presents very marked differences in the opening by segment of political opinion: the

respondents with firmly pro-government opinions are the only ones who express favorable differentials of 'hope'

 for the changes that are taking place." occur after the election.

"Almost 64% of the 'governmentists' responded that they have 'a lot or quite a lot' of hope that the policy will improve the situation in Argentina. In the rest

of the segments

the response pattern is reversed and the

lack of expectations is very predominant

".

"Regarding

this year's

electoral participation

, 44%

of those surveyed anticipate that it will be

'High or Very High'

,

37%

that it will be

'Low or Very Low'

 and, once again, those surveyed with pro-government opinions are the ones who most expectations have regarding a high participation in the elections".

"Finally,

48% of those surveyed stated that they had already decided which force they would vote for

; the rest of the responses were distributed temporarily until election day."

look too

War of polls in the City: what the last 5 studies say about the fight that reveals Macri and Larreta

New electoral survey: striking triple tie and strong impact by the departure of Mauricio Macri

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-04-11

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