The good reception that Mauricio Macri
's electoral run had
in the majority of the leadership of Together for Change and a good part of the red circle was not reflected in the gaze of public opinion on the former president.
At least, this is how it appears from the numbers of a new survey that
Clarín
accessed this Friday.
The study is from
CB Consultora Opinión Pública
, a firm that specializes in federal measurements and does studies (among others) for the governments of Córdoba and the City of Buenos Aires.
Between April 1 and 4, it surveyed between
610 and 1,065 cases
in each of the
country's 24 provinces
.
There
he evaluated the image of the former president
.
He fell in all districts.
Because?
This is how Cristian Buttié
, the director of the consultancy,
analyzes it :
"Macri's early resignation in the framework of the presidential elections generated a
disappointing effect on his hard core
, which we saw reflected in a drop in positive image in each province of the country," Buttié starts.
But he immediately qualifies: "In any case, I believe that this fall can be reversed, as long as the former president does not lose the leadership that he still maintains in Together for Change."
Then, the analyst
compares the situation
of the founder of the PRO
with that of Cristina Kirchner
: "At the end of December, before her premature resignation from the presidential candidacy, Cristina
went through the same process
, since her image was lowered in almost all the provinces of the country, losing power of action over its figure and that of its space".
Where do you do better?
To analyze the results of Macri's image,
CB
divided them into
three groups
of equal size: the 8 provinces where it was better, the 8 where it was regular, and the 8 where it was worse.
In general, and beyond the partition, the numbers are (and have been) quite low. In only 2 of the 24 districts evaluated did the former president end up with a balance in favor (more positive than negative).
These are
Corrientes and Córdoba
, two conservative and refractory provinces to Kirchnerism.
In the first, the former president combines an
image in favor of 49.6%
and one
against of 48.5%
;
in the second, of
+ 48.9% and - 45.7%
.
In both cases complete the "ns/nc".
Then come two important districts,
Santa Fe and CABA
, third and fourth in number of voters.
There Macri ends with similar figures:
+ 40.6% and - 53.7%
;
+ 40.5% and - 56.3%
.
In the other four provinces at the top of the ranking, the founder of the PRO does not even reach 40 positive points and in three he has more than 60% negative.
-
Neuquén
:
+ 39.1% and - 58%
.
-
Mendoza
:
+ 37.7% and - 60.1%
.
-
Between Rivers
:
+ 36.3% and - 60.6%
.
-
Chaco
:
+ 35.5% and - 60.5
.
Where is regular
In the
8 middle provinces
of Macri's table,
more worrying numbers
obviously appear .
In several it does not even reach 30 positive points and in one it already exceeds 70 negative.
These are, in general, districts in the north or south of the country.
Predictable: the best of the PRO founder was always in the central strip.
-
Río Negro
:
+ 34.9% and + 62.9%
.
-
Jump
:
+ 34.3% and - 64.1%
.
-
San Juan
:
+ 31.5% and - 66.4%
.
-
La Rioja
:
+ 30.2% and - 68.5%
.
-
Saint Louis
:
+ 30.1% and - 66.9%
.
-
Chubut
:
+ 28.2% and - 68.9%
.
-
Missions
:
+ 27.9% and - 70.7%
.
-
Jujuy
:
+ 27.1% and - 69.7%
.
Where is it worse?
The background of the Macri table could be summarized in a few data.
In the 8 provinces that make up this group, the former president has
less than 27
positive image
points
and in all
but one
(
La Pampa
),
more than 70
negative
ones
.
But perhaps the weakest point is that the
province of
Buenos Aires
is in the lot , where almost 40% of the electorate is concentrated.
There, Macri combines
+ 26.2% and - 71.1%
.
The question returns: did the former president really have a chance of winning a national election with this rejection?
The numbers other 7 districts:
-
La Pampa
:
+ 26.9% and - 69.7%
.
-
Tucumán
:
+ 24.5% and - 72.6%
.
-
Catamarca
:
+ 23.9% and - 73.6%
.
-
Santiago del Estero
:
+ 23.2% and - 74.9%
.
-
Formosa
:
+ 22.5% and - 74.2%
.
-
Santa Cruz
:
+ 21.3% and - 77.1%
.
-
Tierra del Fuego
:
+ 20.5% and - 76.7%
.
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