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Surprise: Larreta commissioned a survey and in two PASO scenarios the Frente de Todos wins

2023-04-16T18:25:11.554Z


It is a Management & Fit studio. And it shows Milei as the most voted individual.


Horacio Rodríguez Larreta

's concern

for the numbers that the bulk of the surveys had been singing to him, with a certain stagnation of his own and a growth of his internal archrival

Patricia Bullrich

, led the head of Government to prepare an internal report to discredit the telephone and online measurements , and to order the consultants who measure for him to carry out

face - to - face surveys

.

As a result of that decision, the latest Management & Fit

survey has just come to light

.

That came with interesting data and a

surprise

:

in two of the three PASO scenarios that it evaluates, the sum of the candidates of the Frente de Todos prevails.

Management & Fit

is one of the firms

closest to Larreta

today .

He also works with the governments of Córdoba and Santa Fe, and had (does he maintain?) Oiled ties with Sergio Massa and the radicalism of Martín Lousteau and Emiliano Yacobitti.

The face-to-face survey was carried out between February 27 and April 13, with

1,500 cases throughout the country

.

Results were presented with +/- 2.2% margin of error.

In addition to these partial victories for the ruling party, PASO's measurements confirm that at the individual level

the most chosen candidate is Javier Milei

.

He is the only one who exceeds 20 points of voting intention.

Larreta, in any case, must be satisfied with the part of the full glass that the

M&F

study shows him : in the

three primary hypotheses

that are evaluated,

the head of government appears conspicuously above Bullrich

;

striking above all for the difference that he raises.

As explained at the start, in the rest of the current polls, the bid appears more even and in general with the president of the PRO at the top.

With a plus:

the support that Mauricio Macri had

, after the ex-president's displacement, 

would turn to her a priori

.

Parity for space and high rejection of all candidates

The electoral chapter of the

M&F

report has other ingredients to analyze, when evaluating the

fight for space

for the presidential election and the

floors and ceilings

of the main leaders.

As for the bid for strength, there is

total parity

between

Together for Change and the Frente de Todos (22.2% to 21.9%)

, with the libertarians relatively close (14.3%).

That is, without polarization and all three with low numbers.

Because?

Because in the study the

highest percentage

is for the undecided:

27%

.

Logical, in a scenario of such great disenchantment with politics and when it is not yet confirmed who will compete.

The table by space is completed like this:

-

Peronism not K 6.4%

.

-

Left Front 4.9%

.

-

Other space 3.2%

.

Regarding the electoral floors and ceilings, one of the strongest data is the rejection of the main candidates.

He would "never vote for him".

The eight had numbers higher than 50% in this item.

The least bad was Larreta and the worst, Macri.

-

Horacio R. Larreta 52%

"I would never vote for him."

-

Javier Milei 54.1%

"I would never vote for him".

-

Alberto Fernández 58.1%

"I would never vote for him."

-

Patricia Bullrich 64.5%

"I would never vote for him."

-

Cristina Kirchner 68.6%

"I would never vote for him."

-

Sergio Massa 70.9%

"I would never vote for him."

-

José Luis Espert 60.5%

"I would never vote for him."

-

Mauricio Macri 75%

"I would never vote for him".

Three PASO scenarios, with two FdT victories

In the STEP scenarios that

M&F

evaluated , there are several points to highlight.

One, as anticipated, is that

in two of the sums the Frente de Todos prevails

, which generally ranks second in the total.

Another strong fact is the

difference that Milei achieves as the most chosen candidate

in the three hypotheses.

And the third is the distance in favor of Larreta in his internship with Bullrich.

As explained, other recent polls show the head of the PRO above.

These are the three STEP that the consultant tested: 

STEP 1:

- Total Front of all 30.7%

: Cristina Kirchner 17.2%, Sergio Massa 8.9% and Alberto Fernández 4.6%.

-

Total Together for Change 26.5%

: Horacio R. Larreta 18.8% and Patricia Bullrich 7.7%.

-

Javier Milei 23.7%.

-

Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.8%.

-

Myriam Bregman 3.9%.

5.8% completed None and 2.7% did not know / did not answer.

STEP 2:

-

Total Front of All 28.7%

: Sergio Massa 14.2%, Alberto Fernández 8.2% and Wado de Pedro 6.3%.

-

Total Together for Change 27.4%:

Horacio R. Larreta 19.4% and Patricia Bullrich 8%.

-

Javier Milei 23.9%.

-

Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.3%.

-

Myriam Bregman 3.8%.

6.6% completed None and 3.1% did not know / did not answer.


STEP 3:

-

Total Together for Change 27.6%

: Horacio R. Larreta 19.8% and Patricia Bullrich 7.8%.

-

Total Front of All 26.5%

: Sergio Massa 17.8% and Alberto Fernández 8.7%.

-

Javier Milei 24.3%.

-

Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.8%.

-

Myriam Bregman 4.5%.

7.2% complete None and 3% do not know / do not answer.


look also

A new survey came out: very hard data for Mauricio Macri throughout the country

Revenge, betrayal and everything that the chats that blew up the Macri-Larreta war say

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-04-16

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