Horacio Rodríguez Larreta
's concern
for the numbers that the bulk of the surveys had been singing to him, with a certain stagnation of his own and a growth of his internal archrival
Patricia Bullrich
, led the head of Government to prepare an internal report to discredit the telephone and online measurements , and to order the consultants who measure for him to carry out
face - to - face surveys
.
As a result of that decision, the latest Management & Fit
survey has just come to light
.
That came with interesting data and a
surprise
:
in two of the three PASO scenarios that it evaluates, the sum of the candidates of the Frente de Todos prevails.
Management & Fit
is one of the firms
closest to Larreta
today .
He also works with the governments of Córdoba and Santa Fe, and had (does he maintain?) Oiled ties with Sergio Massa and the radicalism of Martín Lousteau and Emiliano Yacobitti.
The face-to-face survey was carried out between February 27 and April 13, with
1,500 cases throughout the country
.
Results were presented with +/- 2.2% margin of error.
In addition to these partial victories for the ruling party, PASO's measurements confirm that at the individual level
the most chosen candidate is Javier Milei
.
He is the only one who exceeds 20 points of voting intention.
Larreta, in any case, must be satisfied with the part of the full glass that the
M&F
study shows him : in the
three primary hypotheses
that are evaluated,
the head of government appears conspicuously above Bullrich
;
striking above all for the difference that he raises.
As explained at the start, in the rest of the current polls, the bid appears more even and in general with the president of the PRO at the top.
With a plus:
the support that Mauricio Macri had
, after the ex-president's displacement,
would turn to her a priori
.
Parity for space and high rejection of all candidates
The electoral chapter of the
M&F
report has other ingredients to analyze, when evaluating the
fight for space
for the presidential election and the
floors and ceilings
of the main leaders.
As for the bid for strength, there is
total parity
between
Together for Change and the Frente de Todos (22.2% to 21.9%)
, with the libertarians relatively close (14.3%).
That is, without polarization and all three with low numbers.
Because?
Because in the study the
highest percentage
is for the undecided:
27%
.
Logical, in a scenario of such great disenchantment with politics and when it is not yet confirmed who will compete.
The table by space is completed like this:
-
Peronism not K 6.4%
.
-
Left Front 4.9%
.
-
Other space 3.2%
.
Regarding the electoral floors and ceilings, one of the strongest data is the rejection of the main candidates.
He would "never vote for him".
The eight had numbers higher than 50% in this item.
The least bad was Larreta and the worst, Macri.
-
Horacio R. Larreta 52%
"I would never vote for him."
-
Javier Milei 54.1%
"I would never vote for him".
-
Alberto Fernández 58.1%
"I would never vote for him."
-
Patricia Bullrich 64.5%
"I would never vote for him."
-
Cristina Kirchner 68.6%
"I would never vote for him."
-
Sergio Massa 70.9%
"I would never vote for him."
-
José Luis Espert 60.5%
"I would never vote for him."
-
Mauricio Macri 75%
"I would never vote for him".
Three PASO scenarios, with two FdT victories
In the STEP scenarios that
M&F
evaluated , there are several points to highlight.
One, as anticipated, is that
in two of the sums the Frente de Todos prevails
, which generally ranks second in the total.
Another strong fact is the
difference that Milei achieves as the most chosen candidate
in the three hypotheses.
And the third is the distance in favor of Larreta in his internship with Bullrich.
As explained, other recent polls show the head of the PRO above.
These are the three STEP that the consultant tested:
STEP 1:
- Total Front of all 30.7%
: Cristina Kirchner 17.2%, Sergio Massa 8.9% and Alberto Fernández 4.6%.
-
Total Together for Change 26.5%
: Horacio R. Larreta 18.8% and Patricia Bullrich 7.7%.
-
Javier Milei 23.7%.
-
Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.8%.
-
Myriam Bregman 3.9%.
5.8% completed None and 2.7% did not know / did not answer.
STEP 2:
-
Total Front of All 28.7%
: Sergio Massa 14.2%, Alberto Fernández 8.2% and Wado de Pedro 6.3%.
-
Total Together for Change 27.4%:
Horacio R. Larreta 19.4% and Patricia Bullrich 8%.
-
Javier Milei 23.9%.
-
Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.3%.
-
Myriam Bregman 3.8%.
6.6% completed None and 3.1% did not know / did not answer.
STEP 3:
-
Total Together for Change 27.6%
: Horacio R. Larreta 19.8% and Patricia Bullrich 7.8%.
-
Total Front of All 26.5%
: Sergio Massa 17.8% and Alberto Fernández 8.7%.
-
Javier Milei 24.3%.
-
Schiaretti/Urtubey 6.8%.
-
Myriam Bregman 4.5%.
7.2% complete None and 3% do not know / do not answer.
look also
A new survey came out: very hard data for Mauricio Macri throughout the country
Revenge, betrayal and everything that the chats that blew up the Macri-Larreta war say