Everything is ready and it seems that this time it will come true.
Joe Biden is set to officially announce
Tuesday that he will run for a second term as president of the United States next year, Democratic Party sources anticipated, a decision the 80-year-old said he would disclose early this year and it is taking time
The announcement was not confirmed by the White House or the party, but it was anticipated by the
Washington Post
on Saturday and other outlets over the weekend, citing sources close to the president.
There has already been speculation on other dates and they have not materialized, but this Tuesday's is significant and that increases the chances: it is just four years after Biden's entry into the campaign that gave him victory in the 2020 elections.
“I told them that I was planning to compete.
I'll tell you when really very soon
," Biden told reporters bluntly on Monday.
Former President Donald Trump will seek the Republican nomination.
Photo Reuters
another round
Thus, there are strong chances that in November 2024 the fierce electoral battle of the last presidential elections will be repeated, when Biden faced Donald Trump and defeated him, in an election whose results were rejected by the former president who denounced a fraud that had never been seen before. it was checked.
Trump, 76, is for now the favorite candidate of the Republicans and
has a great chance of being blessed
among several of that party to fight again for the White House.
If Biden were re-elected, he would take office at 82 and finish his term at 86, making him
the oldest president in
US history.
The debate over his age and health will surely be a major campaign issue and all of his moves and speeches will come under heavy scrutiny.
It would be even more contrasting if his Republican challenger were someone much younger than Trump, like Florida Gov.
Ron DeSantis
, 45, with school-age children.
Biden's decision has been suffering delays.
She said he would announce it at the end of the year and he didn't.
Other times he transcended the same thing, but nothing materialized.
There really wasn't much of a hurry
to make his candidacy official: incumbent presidents tend to delay their announcements as long as possible in order to have a better electoral panorama and see how their rivals move.
But, in addition, Biden was seeking support because he faces skepticism even from members of his own party.
Only half of Democrats think he should run again in 2024, though most would support him if he became the nominee.
Florida Governor.
Ron DeSantis, will try to defeat Trump among the Republicans.
AP Photo
A recent poll by The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research shows that 26% of Americans overall want to see Biden run again
, up slightly
from 22% who said so in January.
47% of Democrats now want her to run, also up from 37% in January.
No weight rivals
Why are you running for re-election?
Simply because he has not seen any other Democratic candidate to challenge him for leadership and, as Trump is emerging as his possible rival, it is thought that he
is the best prepared to defeat him
.
The Democrat, in addition, put last year's legislative election on the man and achieved a much better performance than expected, despite the fact that at that time the US had historical inflation.
Although he had not specified it, Biden had let it be known that he would run, in a maneuver designed to ensure that no one dared to challenge him for leadership.
The effort was successful
because only writer Marianne Williamson and anti-vaxxer Robert Kennedy applied.
Vice Kamala Harris has kept an incredibly low profile and her popularity hasn't taken off.
Consulted by
Clarín
, Cal Jillson, a professor of Political Science at Texas Southern Methodist University, said that “Biden will not have significant competition for the Democratic nomination for president, while the Republicans will have to fight.
Trump will likely prevail and be the Republican nominee in the third consecutive presidential election.
Given that Trump lost the popular vote in both 2016 and 2020 and is now beset by a series of legal issues, I think
Biden may be the favorite to win re-election
."
Asked if the age issue could be a complicating issue, he noted: “Most Democrats, even many of those who care about Biden's age, believe that he is the party's best bet in 2024.
He
has experience and is stable, and Democrats think that contrasts well with Trump's volatility.
But Biden's age is an issue, and it could become a serious issue if circumstances, such as illness, a major verbal or physical mishap, or simply not being able to withstand the rigors of a national campaign, begin to grab voters' attention. ”.
The expert points out that “incumbent presidents often execute a “Rose Garden” strategy (after the famous White House garden), in which they limit travel and campaign from Washington.
The Biden team may well argue for this strategy, but they will probably want to campaign across the country as much as possible to show that age has not slowed them down."
look also
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