A survey confirms the fear of Cristina Kirchner and shows the Frente de Todos third for a STEP

The first four tables are challenging for the ruling party, but the fifth is already cause for concern.

A

that measured for the 2023 elections

and in a presidential STEP scenario

.

It is a hypothesis without the vice president in the offer. 

The study is from

, a firm born in 2015 and that usually presents its reports together with the economic consultancy

(founded by Roberto Lavagna).

Between April 7 and 15, it carried out a national survey of

, almost 80% in person and just over 20% by telephone.

What is voted and when.

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chooses

The clarification of the methodology is not minor:

is one of the pollsters that

and they asked them to measure face to face with the people, because, they maintain in the City Government, there is a vote in favor there of the Buenos Aires chief that other surveys (especially the online ones) do not capture.

Thus, two face-to-face surveys have already appeared (by

and by

, which also have the Buenos Aires government as a client) that place Larreta at the top of their internship against Patricia Bullrich.

numbers

also go in that direction.

Other polls, such as one by

that

released a few days ago, show the former Minister of Security above.

She fights hot and open. 

Space numbers and STEP scenarios

The first table of the electoral measurements reveals a certain stability in the division of the vote between the ruling party and the opposition.

With a

, which coincides in part with data published by

on Friday.

Although in the latter case, it drew attention because the rise was spread by an anti-K consultant.

In Synopsis

figures

, the ruling party rose one and a half points between March and April: from 25.9% to 27.4%.

While the opposition fell from 55% to 53.2% and the undecided went from 19.1% to 19.4%.

The

evaluate the

.

with what difference?

One includes "non-Kirchnerist Peronism" as an option and the other does not.

In both the positions are maintained, although the percentages vary.

Scenario with the PJ not K:

1) Together for Change 28.1%.

2) Front of All 22.8%.

3) Libertarians 16.6%.

4) Peronism not K 10.8%.

5) Parties of the Left 4.9%.

They complete "other" with 5.4% and "don't know / don't answer" with 11.4%.

Scenario without the PJ not K:

1) Together for Change 29%.

2) Front of All 25.6%.

3) Libertarians 17.7%.

4) Parties of the Left 7.2%.

They complete "other" with 7.2% and "don't know / don't answer" with 12.8%.

STEP with and without Cristina

Regarding the PASO, the consulting firm run by political scientist

also raised two hypotheses.

One with many candidates in the Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio, and another in a duel with pairs.

But the big difference, more than the quantity, is the nominality:

.

This last possibility is the one that augurs a dark red panorama for the Government.

In the

, with the vice on the grid, the

is even up in the total by two tenths.

Gather

thanks to

.

Together for Change

ends at

,

.

The

: the first is that

for the presidential election, as a chance to subtract votes from Mieli and (above all) Bullrich;

the second is that the economist and

for the presidential election.

The one who

and explains part of Cristina's speech last Thursday is the most famous libertarian: in this PASO scenario,

and is clearly the candidate with the best individual number.

They complete 

, "others" 3.7% and "undecided" 7.1%.

In the second primary proposal, with less offer on both sides of the crack and the one that generates the most ghosts in the Government, JxC remains above with 26.6% (15.9% Larreta and 10.7% Bullrich) and in Technical tie appears Milei with 26.5%.

Third only comes the Frente de Todos, with 23.7% (14.1% Massa and 9.6% Scioli).

In this case Myriam Bregman 3.8%, Juan Schiaretti 3.6%, "others" 4.5% and "undecided" 11.3% close.

Ballots against Massa

About the end, the poll gets into the bid for the

.

And although Milei finishes second in a STEP scenario, only

.

In both cases, the candidates of Together for Change win, but with differences in favor of the head of government.

Perhaps for this reason, at the Uspallata headquarters they spread the numbers with enthusiasm.

In his hand in hand against the Minister of Economy of the Nation,

.

While

.

In both cases they complete the "ns/nc".

look too

Elections 2023: striking rise of the Frente de Todos in the latest survey of the most anti-K consultant

Elections 2023: a new survey has already measured ballots between Bullrich, Massa, Larreta and Milei