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Elections 2023: a new survey has already measured the last three candidates who ran for president

2023-05-02T12:03:10.828Z


They are two from Together for Change and one from the Frente de Todos. Voting intention floors and ceilings and STEP scenarios.


The displacement of Mauricio Macri, Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner (at least until now) from the

presidential fight

ahead of the

2023 elections

left open scenarios on both sides of the rift.

These are the two leaders of the coalitions and the current president, who in an almost unprecedented event for Argentine democracy will not seek an encore despite being empowered.

This strengthened the aspirations of different leaders in the

Frente de Todos

y

Juntos por el Cambio

.

And the surveys come out to evaluate them almost minute by minute.

Now

Clarín

agreed to a

new poll

that measured three of the most recent candidates:

Agustín Rossi

for the ruling party;

Miguel Pichetto

and

Facundo Manes

for the main opposition alliance.

What are your voting intention floors and ceilings?

How would they do in an internship in their respective spaces?

What is voted and when.

National Elections Provincial Elections

Where I vote?

Survey

Newsletter

Argentina

chooses

2023

The firm that included them is

Zuban Córdoba

.

It is, in reality, the union of two consultants: that of

Paola Zuban

, more dedicated to the world of business;

and that of

Gustavo Córdoba

, a well-known political analyst.

Between April 11 and 16, he surveyed

1,300 household cases

throughout the country.

He presented the results with +/- 2.72% margin of error.


floors and ceilings

The first electoral chart that shows the poll is the classic of

floors and ceilings

.

What percentage of votes do the candidates have?

How much do they extend their ceiling when they add the probable vote?

And what is their rejection, from the people who would never vote for them?

That is why

Zuban Córdoba

's filter parades

12 leaders of the ruling party and opposition

.

And the three mentioned, in a ranking that is ordered by the ceiling (certain vote + probable vote), are at the bottom with another leader who also launched relatively recently:

Juan Schiaretti

.

with these numbers.

-

Facundo Manes

:

17.6% ceiling

(1.2% sure vote + 16.4% probable vote), with a rejection of 68% and 14.4% "don't know."

Finish 

ninth

.

-

Agustín Rossi

:

17.4% ceiling

(2% sure vote + 15.4% probable vote), with a rejection of 63.4% and 19.2% "don't know" (

tenth

).

-

Juan Schiaretti

:

16.4% ceiling

(2.7% sure vote + 13.7% probable vote), with a rejection of 65.8% and 17.8% "don't know" (

eleventh

).

-

Miguel Angel Pichetto

: 9.3% ceiling (1.8% sure vote + 7.5% probable vote), with a rejection of 72.7% and 18% "don't know" (

twelfth

).

The

top

of the table is occupied by

Javier Milei (39.6% ceiling)

,

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (38%)

,

Patricia Bullrich (37.3%)

and

Sergio Massa (35.3%)

.

In the

middle

, meanwhile, are:

Daniel Scioli (21.2%)

,

María Eugenia Vidal (20.5%)

,

Gerardo Morales (20.5%)

and

Wado de Pedro (19.5%)

.


Three STEP scenarios, with the new ones removed

The survey also evaluates three primary scenarios (they will be on August 13) and

the newest candidates

, including Scioli there,

appear relegated

.

- In the Front of All,

Rossi

gets

2.2%, 2.9% and 3.2%

, depending on their internal and external rivals;

Scioli alternates between 3.5%, 4.2% and 5.4%

.

- In non-K Peronism,

Schiaretti

obtained

3.1%, 3.7% and 3.8%

.

- In Together for Change,

Manes

and

Pichetto

are measured only once and get

2.6%

and

1.8%

respectively.

Other conclusions?

In the total sum,

Together for Change prevails three times

and internally,

Larreta

appears a few points

above Bullrich

.

The

ruling party always

escorts

him

in second place, with

Massa

clearly

on top

.

Milei

is consolidated here in

third place

(and does not fight so closely for second, as in other polls), with numbers ranging from

21.1% to 22.6%

.

look also

A survey confirms the fear of Cristina Kirchner and shows the Frente de Todos third for a STEP

Elections 2023: striking rise of the Frente de Todos in the latest survey of the most anti-K consultant

Source: clarin

All news articles on 2023-05-02

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