The displacement of Mauricio Macri, Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner (at least until now) from the
presidential fight
ahead of the
2023 elections
left open scenarios on both sides of the rift.
These are the two leaders of the coalitions and the current president, who in an almost unprecedented event for Argentine democracy will not seek an encore despite being empowered.
This strengthened the aspirations of different leaders in the
Frente de Todos
y
Juntos por el Cambio
.
And the surveys come out to evaluate them almost minute by minute.
Now
Clarín
agreed to a
new poll
that measured three of the most recent candidates:
Agustín Rossi
for the ruling party;
Miguel Pichetto
and
Facundo Manes
for the main opposition alliance.
What are your voting intention floors and ceilings?
How would they do in an internship in their respective spaces?
What is voted and when.
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Survey
Newsletter
Argentina
chooses
2023
The firm that included them is
Zuban Córdoba
.
It is, in reality, the union of two consultants: that of
Paola Zuban
, more dedicated to the world of business;
and that of
Gustavo Córdoba
, a well-known political analyst.
Between April 11 and 16, he surveyed
1,300 household cases
throughout the country.
He presented the results with +/- 2.72% margin of error.
floors and ceilings
The first electoral chart that shows the poll is the classic of
floors and ceilings
.
What percentage of votes do the candidates have?
How much do they extend their ceiling when they add the probable vote?
And what is their rejection, from the people who would never vote for them?
That is why
Zuban Córdoba
's filter parades
12 leaders of the ruling party and opposition
.
And the three mentioned, in a ranking that is ordered by the ceiling (certain vote + probable vote), are at the bottom with another leader who also launched relatively recently:
Juan Schiaretti
.
with these numbers.
-
Facundo Manes
:
17.6% ceiling
(1.2% sure vote + 16.4% probable vote), with a rejection of 68% and 14.4% "don't know."
Finish
ninth
.
-
Agustín Rossi
:
17.4% ceiling
(2% sure vote + 15.4% probable vote), with a rejection of 63.4% and 19.2% "don't know" (
tenth
).
-
Juan Schiaretti
:
16.4% ceiling
(2.7% sure vote + 13.7% probable vote), with a rejection of 65.8% and 17.8% "don't know" (
eleventh
).
-
Miguel Angel Pichetto
: 9.3% ceiling (1.8% sure vote + 7.5% probable vote), with a rejection of 72.7% and 18% "don't know" (
twelfth
).
The
top
of the table is occupied by
Javier Milei (39.6% ceiling)
,
Horacio Rodríguez Larreta (38%)
,
Patricia Bullrich (37.3%)
and
Sergio Massa (35.3%)
.
In the
middle
, meanwhile, are:
Daniel Scioli (21.2%)
,
María Eugenia Vidal (20.5%)
,
Gerardo Morales (20.5%)
and
Wado de Pedro (19.5%)
.
Three STEP scenarios, with the new ones removed
The survey also evaluates three primary scenarios (they will be on August 13) and
the newest candidates
, including Scioli there,
appear relegated
.
- In the Front of All,
Rossi
gets
2.2%, 2.9% and 3.2%
, depending on their internal and external rivals;
Scioli alternates between 3.5%, 4.2% and 5.4%
.
- In non-K Peronism,
Schiaretti
obtained
3.1%, 3.7% and 3.8%
.
- In Together for Change,
Manes
and
Pichetto
are measured only once and get
2.6%
and
1.8%
respectively.
Other conclusions?
In the total sum,
Together for Change prevails three times
and internally,
Larreta
appears a few points
above Bullrich
.
The
ruling party always
escorts
him
in second place, with
Massa
clearly
on top
.
Milei
is consolidated here in
third place
(and does not fight so closely for second, as in other polls), with numbers ranging from
21.1% to 22.6%
.
look also
A survey confirms the fear of Cristina Kirchner and shows the Frente de Todos third for a STEP
Elections 2023: striking rise of the Frente de Todos in the latest survey of the most anti-K consultant