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The polls prepared by GAD3 for public television suggest that the Popular Party would be the first force in Madrid and would govern with an absolute majority both in the Community of Madrid – with between 70 and 72 deputies (the majority is in 68) – and in the City Council of the capital, with a range of 28 to 30 seats (29 are needed). The popular would also be the first force in the Valencian Community, with up to 38 seats, although the Valencian Government is still in the air, with the left still with options against a possible PP-Vox alliance. In Aragon the PP would also win with 28 or 29 seats, but it needs the far right (7-9 seats) to add the 34 that guarantee the Government. The PSOE could retain Castilla-La Mancha, with between 16 and 18 deputies (17 are needed). In Barcelona, Socialists and Commons appear practically tied in the survey, with up to 10 councilors each, but with Ada Colau slightly ahead.
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Survey | The PP would win in all Andalusian capitals
The Popular Party would win in all the Andalusian capitals, according to the survey conducted by GAD3 for public television. He would win again in Almería (he would go from 13 to 14), Córdoba (he would grow from 9 to 14) and Málaga (from 12 to 14), with more strength than in 2019. In Cádiz, Adelante Andalucía (could lose 7 councilors) would cease to be the first force and would be replaced by the popular ones (who would go from 6 to 11-12). The PSOE could cease to be the most voted party in Granada, Huelva, Jaén and Seville. There could only be a tie in Huelva (to 12 councilors) and in Seville (with 13), although the survey contemplates that the popular would have more votes.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 20: 13
The PP would win with an absolute majority in Madrid, technical tie between the commons and the PSC in Barcelona
These would be the results in some of the main Spanish cities, according to surveys prepared by GAD3 for public television.
Madrid: The Popular Party would touch the absolute majority with between 28 and 30 councilors. It would be followed by Más Madrid, with 12 seats; and PSOE, with between 10 and 11. Vox would keep the current 4 councilors. Meanwhile, Ciudadanos would lose its 11 councilors and Podemos could achieve 3.
More Madrid: 12
United We Can: 0-3
The City Council of Madrid has 57 councilors, 29 for the absolute majority.
Barcelona: Barcelona en Comú would keep its 10 councillors. The PSC would get between 9 and 10, while ERC would get 6. Junts would get between 8 and 9. The PP would get four seats. Vox would enter the City Council with three councilors, while Ciudadanos would lose the six it has.
Barcelona City Council has 41 councillors, 21 for an absolute majority.
Seville: The PP would get between 13 and 14 councilors, could be matched with the PSOE, which the polls give 13 seats. They would lose their representation in the City Council, Adelante Andalucía and Ciudadanos, and would enter with Andalucía. Vox would get 3 councilors.
Adelante Andalucía: 0
With Andalusia: 1-2
The City Council of Seville has 31 councilors, 16 for the absolute majority.
Valencia: The PP would get between 13 and 14 councilors, Compromís would lose two and stay with 8, while the PSOE would remain between 7 and 8. Ciudadanos would lose its six councilors and Vox would get 4.
The City Council of Valencia is formed by 33 councilors, 17 for the absolute majority.
Zaragoza: The PP would obtain 14 councilors, while the PSOE would remain with between 10 and 11. Ciudadanos leaves City Hall after losing its six seats. Podemos would get between 1 and 2, and Vox, 4. Zaragoza in Common could enter with 2.
We can: 1-2
Zaragoza in Common: 0-2
Zaragoza City Council has 25 councillors, 13 for an absolute majority.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 20: 13
The PP would achieve an absolute majority in the Community of Madrid and win in the Valencian Community and Aragon, according to the polls
The Popular Party would achieve an absolute majority in the Community of Madrid by obtaining between 70 and 72 seats, above the 68 needed to govern alone, according to surveys prepared by GAD3 for public television. These polls also show that the right would be in a position to regain power in the Valencian Community and Aragon, but always with the support of the extreme right of Vox. In the Valencian Community, the PP would obtain between 37 and 38 deputies, and would add an absolute majority (50) with the 13-14 that Vox can get. In Aragon, where the majority is in 34 seats, the conservatives would add 28-29 deputies and Vox, between 7 and 9. However, the PSOE would be close to maintaining power in Castilla-La Mancha, where the absolute majority is at 17. According to the polls, the Socialists would win between 16 and 18 seats, while the PP would add between 12 and 13 and Vox, between 3 and 4.
These are the detailed results in four communities —Community of Madrid, Valencian Community, Aragon and Castilla-La Mancha— in which I voted this 28-M, according to the surveys prepared by GAD3 for public television:
- The Assembly of the Community of Madrid is made up of 135 deputies, 68 for an absolute majority. These would be the results according to the polls: PP: 70-72
More Madrid: 20
- In the Valencian Community, the Cortes are composed of 99 deputies, 50 for an absolute majority. These would be the results according to the polls: PSOE: 31-33
Compromis: 12-14 Cs: 0
- In Aragon, the Cortes are made up of 67 deputies, 34 for an absolute majority. These would be the results according to the polls: PSOE: 22-23
Cs: 0 Podemos: 2-3 CHA: 2-3
- In Castilla-La Mancha, the Cortes are made up of 33 deputies, 17 for an absolute majority. These would be the results according to the polls: PSOE: 16-18
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 20: 07
"Great sensations" in the direction of the PP
The popular see a clear victory this election night. "Everything indicates that the PP wins the elections," say sources of the dome, who at this time hope to take over the governments of the Valencian Community, Aragon and La Rioja safely, as well as achieve absolute majorities both in the Community and in the City of Madrid.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 20: 02
Polling stations close in the Peninsula
Schools will remain open for another hour in the Canary Islands.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 20: 10
Juan Lobato arrives at the Official College of Architects of Madrid
The PSOE candidate for the presidency of the Community of Madrid, Juan Lobato, is already at the Official College of Architects of Madrid (COAM), where the Madrid Socialists will celebrate election night, accompanied by their families. Lobato arrived around 19:45 p.m., a quarter of an hour before the polling stations closed. The PSOE is playing this 28-M to recover the regional hegemony of the left, which it lost to Más Madrid in 2021. Then, the socialist candidate for the presidency, Ángel Gabilondo, lost 13 seats and 275,000 votes, the worst result of the PSOE in a Madrid regional elections. "Let's hope for greater support than the other time and look strong," said the candidate upon arrival.
Lobato and the candidate for mayor, Reyes Maroto, who has not yet arrived at the school, will live the counting of votes on the second floor of the building, at number 63 of Hortaleza Street, while media and militants – the latter summoned at 21:00 p.m., when the count has already begun – will be able to follow him in a room on the third floor. The national headquarters of the socialist party, on Ferraz Street, also opens tonight for scrutiny.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 19: 59
Manuel Viejo from the headquarters of Ciudadanos: "We have two options: wedding or funeral"
The journalist of EL PAÍS, Manuel Viejo, reports from the headquarters of Ciudadanos in Madrid: "Everything points to a funeral and the end of Ciudadanos in Madrid and, probably, the end of Ciudadanos as a political party."
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 19: 45
Participation falls in the Community of Madrid
At seven o'clock in the afternoon, the influx to the polls in the Community of Madrid has fallen. At that time, 62.5% of the census had voted, compared to 69.27% at the same time last year, when Isabel Díaz Ayuso won. The data represents a drop in participation of almost seven points, when in the advance of the morning (13.00) the influx to the polls had grown slightly, 0.74%.
ACT.28 MAY 2023 - 19: 33
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