Status: 27/09/2023, 16:34 p.m.
Thomas Strobl (r, CDU) welcomes Manuel Hagel, CDU parliamentary group chairman, to the state parliament before a debate. © Bernd Weißbrod/dpa
The CDU on the upswing, the Greens in a downward spiral: the balance of power in Baden-Württemberg is shifting, according to polls. The biggest problem for citizens: the migration crisis.
Stuttgart - According to a survey, the CDU in the southwest is gaining more and more support among the population. If the state elections were held next Sunday, the Christian Democrats would get 29 percent, according to a regular representative survey conducted by Infratest dimap on behalf of SWR and the "Stuttgarter Zeitung", which was published on Wednesday. This is three percentage points more than in the July survey.
With 20 percent, the AfD climbs to a new record in Baden-Württemberg. This means that the far-right party is only just behind the Greens. Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann's party continues to fall to 22 percent - two percentage points less than in July and the lowest figure in almost nine years. Kretschmann spoke of a loss of confidence in democracy and its institutions.
The SPD ends up with 12 percent - one percentage point less. The FDP gains one point and reaches 8 percent. The other parties that are not represented in the state parliament together account for 9 percent.
By comparison, in the state election in March 2021, the Greens had achieved 32.6 percent, the CDU 24.1 percent, the SPD 11 percent, the FDP 10.5 percent and the AfD 9.7 percent.
The respondents named the issue of immigration and flight as the biggest problem - at 40 percent, it is by far at the top of the list. This is followed by education policy (26 percent) and environmental protection and climate change (16 percent). According to the survey, the AfD is benefiting from dissatisfaction with migration policy: 52 percent think it is good that the AfD wants to limit the influx of foreigners and refugees more than other parties. 36 percent are of the opinion that the AfD is closer to people's concerns than other parties.
Only 41 percent are satisfied with the performance of the green-black state government, 56 percent were critical. According to the survey, Kretschmann's approval ratings fall to their lowest level since taking office in 2011. Only 53 percent are satisfied with his work.
For the survey, 1162 people in Baden-Württemberg were interviewed between 21 and 25 September. The fluctuation range is 2 percentage points for a share value of 10 percent and 3 percentage points for a share value of 50 percent.
"Citizens are feeling the consequences of the war and the crises of migration, inflation and energy in real life in their everyday lives," said Prime Minister Kretschmann. "Concerns about a loss of prosperity also reach into the political centre." Answers to these questions must and will be found. "Overall, I am experiencing a loss of confidence in democracy and its institutions. That's what bothers me a lot," he said. "But I also warn against reflexively evaluating such values, because we are making it too easy for ourselves."
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Of course, one could not be satisfied with the figures, said the Green state chairmen Lena Schwelling and Pascal Haggenmüller. "We take this feedback from the people in the country seriously and see it as a mission."
"The survey clearly shows that people are not satisfied with the work of the Green-Black coalition," said SPD General Secretary Sascha Binder. "The only thing that helps the CDU is the national trend - but there can be no talk of its own performance here. Instead of the people, they only have their eyes on the next election."
The AfD, on the other hand, was pleased with the values. "In view of the survey, it is now our task to educate CDU voters in particular that the CDU is only prolonging the Green tragedy," said party leader Markus Frohnmaier. "If you want to end the poverty policy in Germany, you have an alternative in the AfD." Bundestag group leader Anton Baron said: "In the next survey, we will have caught up with the two percent to the Greens and will then be the second strongest force in the southwest as well as in the federal government." dpa