What if Ukraine loses the war against Russia? The question is taboo, among the Ukrainians as well as among their Western allies, as it is fraught with implications. But after twenty-one months of war, while the military fronts have been frozen since the failure of the counter-offensive, some are quietly asking the question. We're not there yet. But for several weeks now, bad news has been piling up on Ukraine, against which all the black winds of politics and diplomacy have begun to blow.
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First of all, in the military field, where the stalemate did not wait for the return of the autumn mud and the cold of winter to set in and freeze the initiatives. Some had thought that the social and political crises that shook the Kremlin during the year could lead to a possible collapse of the Russian army in the medium term. That hope has since been banished. "The Europeans underestimated the military capabilities of the Russians," says Alyona...
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