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Ukraine faces the spectre of military defeat


Highlights: Ukraine faces the possibility of losing the war against Russia. Some in the West are worried about the long-term impact of the conflict. Russia has been in a state of crisis since the annexation of Crimea in March 2014. The conflict has been raging for more than a year, with both sides blaming each other for the loss of Crimea. The West is worried that the conflict could lead to a loss of Russian influence in the region, as well as in the rest of Europe and the Middle East. It is unclear whether the West will be able to win the war.

ANALYSIS - After the failure of the counter-offensive, the West is wondering how to help Kiev in the long term.

What if Ukraine loses the war against Russia? The question is taboo, among the Ukrainians as well as among their Western allies, as it is fraught with implications. But after twenty-one months of war, while the military fronts have been frozen since the failure of the counter-offensive, some are quietly asking the question. We're not there yet. But for several weeks now, bad news has been piling up on Ukraine, against which all the black winds of politics and diplomacy have begun to blow.

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First of all, in the military field, where the stalemate did not wait for the return of the autumn mud and the cold of winter to set in and freeze the initiatives. Some had thought that the social and political crises that shook the Kremlin during the year could lead to a possible collapse of the Russian army in the medium term. That hope has since been banished. "The Europeans underestimated the military capabilities of the Russians," says Alyona...

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Source: lefigaro

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