Two weeks ago,
Clarín
warned about a particular phenomenon that was brewing in politics: the new crack, no longer with Cristina Kirchner and Mauricio Macri as poles of a mirror, but
around the figure of Javier Milei
.
And a
national survey
that was just published
confirms the hypothesis
.
With four key facts.
The study is by
D'Alessio IROL - Berensztein
, two consulting firms that have worked together for years and publish a
"social mood monitor"
every month, which serves as a good thermometer of public opinion.
The last includes a national online survey of 1,240 cases.
There, in each item that the study addresses, the polarization (in some cases extreme) appears that pits the voters of La Libertad Avanza against those of Unión por la Patria. The parameter that was taken is that of the ballot, and what seems to be forming is a very marked pro and anti-mileism.
The four filters that show this dichotomy are: the evaluation of the current situation, economic expectations, approval/disapproval of the Government and images of key officials.
Economy and politics, with two very marked sides
At the beginning of the report, the main conclusions/results
are detailed
, where the new crack is clear.
There are only certain coincidences in the evaluation of the current situation (serious for everyone) and in the main concern (inflation for everyone).
The other significant point, which also appears in other polls, is the
drop in the approval of the Government and in the image of the President
, as a result of the adjustment.
These are the conclusions of the report:
"The
negative evaluation of the current economic situation dropped 4 points compared to December
, but remains at very high levels (84%). While
73% of LLA voters
in the runoff have a negative view of the current economy, among
UP voters
that figure rises to
99%
."
"With respect to economic expectations for next year, figures are very similar to last month. While 52% believe that the situation will get worse, 43% maintain that it will be better. Optimism
for the future is particularly important among LLA voters (72%)
".
"Almost two months after having inaugurated his administration,
Javier Milei's government
has an
approval of 47%
and a disapproval of 50%. This implies a drop of 3 points in approval and an increase of 6 points in disapproval in relation to to December 2023".
"While
approval among LLA voters remains at high levels (79%)
, disapproval among this segment grew 10 points in one month."
"
Inflation is the issue that most worries respondents with 89%
. It is followed by economic uncertainty (without variations compared to December 2023) and insecurity (which this month fell 2 points and stood at 62%). "The fear of losing your job is consolidated among the top ten concerns, something that appeared as a novelty in last month's survey."
"When segmented by vote,
inflation appears as the main concern, regardless of party proximity
. For LLA followers, the agenda of concerns is completed with insecurity (73%) and impunity for acts of Kirchnerist corruption (65% For UP followers, their ranking of concerns is completed with economic uncertainty (83%) and the lack of proposals for growth (61%).
"
Patricia Bullrich heads the ranking of positive image with 50%
and is the only political leader with a favorable balance. They are followed by Javier Milei with 47% and Victoria Villarruel with 46%. Compared to last month,
the negative image of the president grew 2 points and the positive fell 4 points
."
"When analyzing the positive image per vote, it is observed that LLA voters value Patricia Bullrich (86%) and Javier Milei more. UP voters maintain a special appreciation for Juan Grabois (81%) and Axel Kicillof (75%). ".