The figure delights his supporters, until now accustomed to presidential defeats, and frightens his opponents, who see the “extreme right” approaching the Élysée.
“Le Pen's thunderbolt” headlines Valeurs Acteurs, which publishes an Ifop poll crediting the RN candidate with 51% in the second round against Gabriel Attal and 50% against Édouard Philippe.
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However, the essential thing is not in this absolute value.
First, if we must always be careful not to grant a predictive value to the first round polls - they are the picture of the moment we are in, which is already an important indication - those of the second round anticipate a situation in which, by definition, the voter cannot project himself.
Then because this is not the first time that a victory for the member of Parliament for Pas-de-Calais has been considered plausible.
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Replaying the 2022 match a year later, Elabe, for BFM, assured that she would have beaten Emmanuel Macron by 55% to 45%.
This investigation is no less a confirmation…
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