Three years before the presidential election, Marine Le Pen is at the top of voting intentions and is now in the position of contender for victory according to an Ifop-Fiducial* poll for
Valeurs Actuelles
.
Regardless of the Macronist candidate in the running, the RN candidate would come out on top in the first round: in strong progress, she would obtain 36% of the votes, far ahead of Édouard Philippe or Gabriel Attal with each 22% of the votes.
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In the second round, the one who would be a finalist for the third time is given a handkerchief with the candidate from the “central block”.
Thus, according to the Ifop survey, which provides a margin of error of 1.8 points, Marine Le Pen would obtain 50% of the votes against the mayor of Le Havre and 51% in the event of a duel with the current leader. minister.
Facing Gabriel Attal, Marine Le Pen would win the match in all age groups, except among those over 65, who would only vote 38% in her favor.
Mélenchon in the lead on the left, but behind Le Pen
Heavily criticized for his positions on the war between Hamas and Israel, Jean-Luc Mélenchon nevertheless crushes his competitors on the left by retaining his base of 14% of voting intentions.
Fabien Roussel would obtain 4% of the votes when Olivier Faure (PS) and Marine Tondelier (EELV) would not exceed 2%, or 0.5% more than Nathalie Arthaud (LO) and Philippe Poutou (NPA).
In total, left-wing candidates garnered 25% of voting intentions, barely enough to qualify for the second round.
In the event of the Le Pen/Mélenchon duel, the boss of the RN deputies would largely win with 64% of the votes.
On the right, between the Macronist candidate and Marine Le Pen, space is limited.
Éric Zemmour is once again given fourth place in the vote with 6% of the vote (one point less than his 2022 score).
Laurent Wauquiez, discreet for a year, would only total 5.5% of the votes (4.5% in the event of the candidacy of Édouard Philippe).
*The survey was conducted among a sample of 1,081 people registered on the electoral lists, taken from a sample of 1,216 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over.